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Archive for the ‘Offshore Energy – General’ Category

[Disclosure: I assisted the legal team that defended Bob Kaluza. That said, I completely disagreed with the charges against him and Don Vidrine before my involvement in the case.]

Bob Kaluza (L) and Don Vidrine

Unsurprisingly, there was a lot of tough guy talk in Washington DC after the blowout:

“Our job is basically to keep the boot on the neck of British Petroleum” 

Ken Salazar, Secretary of the Interior

Weeks after the explosion, President Obama told NBC’s Matt Lauer he was trying to figure out “whose ass to kick.”

Texas Monthly

It was therefore predictable that the Department of Justice (DOJ) would choose to prosecute BP employees individually. There were BP managers who would have been good candidates, but instead DOJ chose to criminally prosecute the working stiffs – the two BP well site leaders on the rig. They were the lowest ranking BP employees associated with the incident. This was apparently acceptable to BP, since their plea agreement blamed Kaluza and Vidrine’s for their role in overseeing the negative pressure test (#blametheworker). Never mind that:

  • BP management was responsible for the well planning and shortcuts that were the root causes of the blowout (see the previous posts in this Macondo series).
  • the extent to which the negative pressure test was misconducted and misinterpreted was and remains a topic of dispute.
  • there were no regulations or standards requiring this test or explaining how it should be conducted, and BP’s internal guidance was woefully inadequate.
  • Bob Kaluza was a temporary replacement for the regular well site leader, had worked primarily onshore, and had never conducted or witnessed a negative pressure test.
  • Kaluza and Vidrine were themselves victims and were fortunate to have survived the incident.

Despite all of this, DOJ still chose to prosecute the two well site leaders. However, the weaknesses in the DOJ case became more obvious over time, and DOJ dropped all but a misdemeanor water pollution charge. Vidrine, who had health issues that were exacerbated by the case, accepted a plea deal. Kaluza was confident of his innocence and chose to make his case in court. His defense team was very strong, and the trial was essentially a walkover. After less than 2 hours of deliberation, the jury fully acquitted Bob Kaluza (2/25/2016). Sadly, Don Vidrine passed away the following year.

LInked is a very good Texas Monthly article about the case.

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While the previously discussed planning, cementing, and well suspension issues allowed the well to flow, there were many other equipment, operational, and management deficiencies that elevated the incident to a disaster. Below are those that bother me the most:

  • Blowout Preventers
    • The Deepwater Horizon BOP stack had a single blind shear ram. Regardless of what the regulations allowed, you don’t drill a complex well like this without redundant shearing capability (and at the time of the blowout most deepwater drillers were using rigs with dual shear rams). All well control emergencies requiring the emergency disconnect sequence, deadman, and autoshear functions are dependent on effective shearing capability. You can have redundancy in every other BOP element, but without dual shear rams, you don’t have a redundant BOP system. Further, for full redundancy both shear rams should be capable of sealing the well bore after shearing. In that regard, the present regulations and the applicable standard (API S 53) require only one shear ram capable of sealing. They are thus deficient and should be updated.
    • The DWH BOP system did not have full bore shearing capability (available at the time) which may have sheared the deflected drill pipe.
    • The DWH BOP system was not properly maintained and recertified as required by regulation.
    • Transocean’s “condition based maintenance” was a euphenism for “fix it when it fails.” Perhaps worse, BP authorized the continuation of operations knowing that an annular preventer was leaking.
  • The initial flow from the well was directed to the mud-gas separator instead of being routed overboard via the diverter. Routing the flow to the diverter would have provided additional time for the crew to safely evacuate.
  • Gas detectors
    • Not all gas detectors were fully operational. As justification, Transocean’s report expressed concerns about alarm fatigue, a weak excuse. Alarm issues can be effectively managed without disabling the devices.
    • The gas detectors did not automatically shutdown the generators, the source of the initial explosion. This is somewhat understandable on a dynamically positioned rig that is dependent on power to maintain position. However, someone should have shut down the generators as soon as gas was detected.
  • Engine overspeed devices didn’t work, and apparently weren’t tested regularly. Had they worked, the engine room explosion may have been prevented.
  • The crew had time to activate the Emergency Disconnect Sequence, but did not.
    • Deficient training
    • Uncertain chain of command
    • Fear of repercussions?

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Industry standards are critical to safety achievement. They represent best practices as determined by leading experts in the many disciplines that support oil and gas exploration and development. Another plus for standards is that, unlike regulations, they can be developed in a timely manner, particularly where there is an immediate need. However, industry mergers and streamlining have reduced the diversity of input, and some companies either do not participate or participate primarily to promote or protect their particular interest. The need for a consensus can also result in “lowest common denominator” outcomes that lack the necessary rigor.

Minerals Management Service (MMS) reviews indicated that cementing issues were the leading contributing factor to well control incidents between 1992 and 1996 (see chart below). On August 16, 2000, MMS challenged a new API cementing work group to improve zonal isolation, reduce the occurrence of sustained casing pressure, and prevent annular flow incidents before, during, and after cementing operations. Unfortunately, the standard was long delayed because of internal disagreements within the work group. Feedback indicated that some participants preferred a watered down, less rigorous version.

It is undisputed that the primary cement at Macondo failed to isolate hydrocarbons in the formation from the wellbore—that is, it did not accomplish zonal isolation. If the cement had set properly in its intended location, the cement would have prevented hydrocarbons from flowing out of the formation and into the well. The cement would have been a stand-alone barrier that would have prevented a blowout even in the absence of any other barriers (such as closed blowout preventer rams, drilling mud, and cement plugs).

Chief Counsel’s Report, National Commission on the BP Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill

API Standard 65-2, Isolating Potential Flow Zones During Well Construction, if completed in a timely manner and complied with would likely have prevented not only the Macondo disaster, but also the 2009 Montara blowout in Australia. (The Montara investigation hearings were covered extensively on this blog in 2010.) This important standard was ultimately finalized in a reactive manner after the Macondo well blew out.

Standard 65-2 focuses on the prevention of flow through or past barriers that are installed during well construction. A few key elements that are pertinent from a Macondo perspective:

  • Companies are required to perform a risk assessment prior to utilizing foamed cement and make sure that the results of this assessment are incorporated in the cementing plan. In setting the production casing on the Macondo well, foamed cement was used in an oil-based mud environment, destablizing the cement and contributing to the failure to isolate the highly productive oil reservoir.
  • The standard specifies float valve and cement requirements for the shoe track at the base of the casing, the Macondo failure point. (Weatherford float equipment failures were a common element to both the Montara and Macondo blowouts. Weatherford’s $75 million settlement with BP seems rather modest when one considers the magnitude of the damage costs.)
  • The framework in Annex D of the standard does a good job of outlining the questions that should be asked in conducting a cementing risk assessment. These issues identified in the Chief Counsel’s report, which includes an outstanding review of the technical and management issues associated with the cementing/zonal isolation of the Macondo reservoirs, should have been addressed by BP and their contractors before initiating the well suspension program:
    • narrow pore pressure/fracture gradient;
    • use of nitrogen foamed cement;
    • use of long string casing design;
    • short shoe track;
    • limited number of centralizers;
    • uncertainty regarding float conversion;
    • limited pre-cementing mud circulation;
    • decision not to spot heavy mud in rathole;
    • low cement volume;
    • low cement flow rate;
    • no cement evaluation log before temporary abandonment; and
    • temporary abandonment procedures that would severely underbalance the well and place greater stress than normal on the cement job.

Unfortunately, such an assessment was not conducted and critical operational decisions were made in a rash manner with the objective of saving time. We know the outcome – 11 lives lost, massive pollution, and enormous social costs

Despite making multiple changes over the last nine days before the blowout, the Macondo team did not formally analyze the risks that its temporary abandonment procedures created. The Macondo team never asked BP experts such as subsea wells team leader Merrick Kelley about the wisdom of setting a surface cement plug 3,000 feet below the mudline to accommodate setting the lockdown sleeve or displacing 8,300 feet of mud with seawater without first installing additional physical barriers. It never provided rig personnel a list of potential risks associated with the plan or instructions for mitigating those risks.

Almost every decision the Chief Counsel’s team identified as having potentially contributed to the blowout occurred during the execution phase.

Chief Counsel’s Report

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U.S. crude oil production in the forecast averages 12.0 million b/d in 2022, up 0.8 million b/d from 2021. We forecast production to increase another 0.9 million b/d in 2023 to average almost 13.0 million b/d, surpassing the previous annual average record of 12.3 million b/d set in 2019.

EIA

The short-term forecast doesn’t say how much of that production will come from the Gulf of Mexico. Last year, EIA forecast 2022 Gulf production to average 1.75 BOPD which seems about right based on the the most recent production data.

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Murphy has announced first oil from the King’s Quay floating production unit in the Gulf of Mexico. The initial production rate has not been released, but the facility is expected to process up to 80,000 BOPD and 100 million cu ft of gas per day from subsea wells.

Murphy’s six partners all appear to be investment companies. This type of support is essential given the reduced Gulf of Mexico participation by some of the major oil companies. Ridgewood Energy has the largest stake among the Murphy partners. In the “old days,” the partners were typically other exploration and production companies.

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These bills probably aren’t going anywhere at this time, but would help strengthen the integrity of the US offshore program. The bills are generally consistent with the views expressed by Senators Manchin (D-WV) and Kelly (D-AZ) in a letter to the President.

  • The Unleashing American Energy Act requires a minimum of two oil and gas lease sales to be held annually in available federal waters in the Central and Western Gulf of Mexico Planning Area, and in the Alaska Region of the Outer Continental Shelf.
  • The Securing American Energy and Investing in Resiliency Act requires the Department of the Interior to conduct all remaining offshore oil and gas lease sales in the current leasing plan and issue leases won as a result of Lease Sale 257.
  • The Strategy to Secure Offshore Energy Act requires the publications of the 2022-27 plan for offshore oil and gas lease sales by the time the current plan expires on June 30, 2022.

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Deepwater production is noteworthy for widely dispersed surface structures supplemented with subsea systems. In the past 30 years, the total number of Gulf of Mexico platforms declined by 50% while the oil production doubled. Of course, this level of production is not sustainable without regular lease sales and increased exploration. In that regard, the signs are not good.

435 GoM shelf platforms have been removed in just the last 5 years (2017-2021). The loss of platforms is accompanied by a loss of marine habitat that the rigs-to-reefs program has partially compensated for. There have been a number of other interesting proposals for the use of old platforms, some more serious than others.

Current number of Gulf of Mexico platforms by water depth:

water depthfloating and fixed production platforms
all depths1757
>400 m52
>1000 m35
>1500 m16
>2000 m7

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Wall Street Journal: U.S. Wants More Oil From Canada but Not a New Pipeline to Bring It

WSJ

This WSJ report, if accurate, reflects the mindset that you can increase oil production on demand when absolutely necessary, and avoid committing to longer term oil and gas supplies. The goal of such thinking is to address supply crises without alienating the uncompromising climate ultras. You suspend lease sales, deny new pipelines, and demonize oil and gas and the people who produce it. When supplies tighten and prices spike, you tap the strategic reserve, appeal to OPEC, talk to Venezuela and Iran, and ask Canada to ship more oil in rail cars or trucks (but no new pipelines please!). .

Below is a pie chart constructed using data from a 2018 DOT report to Congress. For logistical and economic reasons, pipelines are overwhelmingly the crude oil transport method of choice. Rail cars and trucks are called on where there are no pipeline options.

data from 2018 DOT report

Looking at the systems, one would assume that pipelines have safety and environmental advantages. Loading and unloading hundreds of tanks would seem to be inviting spills, although most would presumably be small. The DOT data bear this out. On a volume transported basis, spill incidents occurred nearly 15 times more frequently for rail cars and trucks than they did for pipelines.

For pipeline(s), an incident occurred approximately once every 720 million gallons of crude oil shipped. For rail, an incident occurred approximately once every 50 million gallons of crude oil shipped. For truck(s), an incident occurred approximately once every 55 million gallons of crude oil shipped.

Looking at the percentage spilled, pipelines also had a significant (7.6 times) advantage over rail, but only a slight advantage over trucks.

Volume of Crude Oil Shipped and Spilled by Pipeline, Rail, and Truck, 2007-2016

Pipeline
volume shipped (k gal)1,298,630,088
volume spilled (k gal)13,161
% spilled0.0010%
Rail
volume shipped (k gal)23,052,960
volume spilled (k gal)1,751
% spilled0.0076%
Truck
volume shipped (k gal)47,894,868
volume spilled (k gal)521
% spilled0.0011%

Because fatalities or hospitalizations were extremely rare, DOT chose not to normalize those data. There were a total of 3 fatalities associated with both pipeline and truck shipments. While no fatalities were associated with rail shipments, DOT noted that 47 deaths resulted from a crude oil derailment in Lac Megantic, Quebec in 2013. BOE further reminds readers that this train was transporting Bakken crude from North Dakota to a refinery in St. John, New Brunswick.

The bottom line is that you have to plan ahead to satisfy future supply needs. This is particularly true for the offshore sector where the lead times are longer, but the production volumes relative to the number of wells and facilities are higher (a good thing). The need for oil and gas is not going away, nor are threats to energy security. There are plenty of people in the U.S. Department of the Interior who understand this. Empower them to safely expedite leasing, exploration, and development!

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Bay du Nord FPSO planned for 500 km offshore St. John’s in 1200 m water depth

Federal Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault formally approved the Bay du Nord offshore oil megaproject Wednesday, making a decision that will infuriate environmentalists but boost the Newfoundland and Labrador economy.

CBC News

Previous post on this project.

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