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Posts Tagged ‘Exxon’

Kudos to EPA for their Notice (attached) informing that carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) doesn’t meet the Clean Air Act’s definition of “best system of emissions reduction” (BSER). This common sense determination is a setback for companies chasing the generous 45Q tax credits that their lobbyists succeeded in retaining and enhancing in the One Big Beautiful Bill (table below).

Per the Notice: “EPA is finalizing the determination that 90 percent CCS is not the BSER for existing long-term coal-fired steam generating units because 90 percent CCS has not been adequately demonstrated, the costs of 90 percent CCS are not reasonable, and the associated degree of emission limitation is not achievable.”

EPA further determined “that previous projects that failed to achieve 90 percent CCS were not a sufficient basis to conclude the technology has been adequately demonstrated. Additionally, the carbon dioxide (CO2) capture, pipeline, and sequestration infrastructure necessary to implement 90 percent CCS for the fleet of existing coal-fired steam generating units does not currently exist and would need to be broadly deployed.“

EPA sensibly concludes (p. 58969) that the 45Q tax credit should NOT be accounted for when evaluating the reasonableness of the costs of the BSER. The carbon disposal industry has discounted the risks and overstated the benefits of CCS in their pursuit of those tax benefits, on which that industry is dependent.

Meanwhile. the Texas Railroad Commission by a 2-1 vote just approved a major carbon disposal project despite strong local opposition. The Rose Project will dispose of 53 million metric tons of carbon dioxide ($4.5 billion in tax credits).

Extension of the carbon disposal industry to Federal offshore waters appears to have failed. Only 7 of the 163 OCS oil and gas leases wrongfully acquired by Exxon and Repsol for carbon disposal purposes remain in effect. Those 7 leases will probably be relinquished before they expire in 2027.

199 oil and gas leases were wrongfully acquired for carbon disposal purposes. at Sales, 257, 259, and 261. Those blocks (red and blue) are adjacent to Texas waters. Only 7 of those leases remain in effect.

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Twenty Members of Congress (17 from California) filed the attached amicus brief in support of California’s challenge to the use of the Defense Production Act (DPA) to facilitate the restart of production at the Santa Ynez Unit (SYU) in the Santa Barbara Channel.

Per their filing:

“This case is not about national defense. It is about a heavily leveraged, crude oil company asking the President to transform the DPA from a statute designed to“assure the availability of domestic energy supplies for national defense needs,” 50 U.S.C. § 4502(a)(5), into a corporate rescue operation for political allies; a rescue that advances the Administration’s political preference for fossil-fuel development at the expense of all other concerns. The Department of Energy’s (“DOE”) March 13, 2026 order (the “Wright Order”) comes nowhere close to identifying a need for Sable crude oil or pipelines in the Order’s generalized invocation of California’s military presence and increased reliance on foreign crude.”

Comments:

  • The brief includes no new arguments or information.
  • Is it not disingenuous to raise concerns about Sable’s financing when these critics and their allies spent a decade blocking Exxon, one of the world’s strongest companies, from restarting SYU production? Exxon’s frustration led to the ownership transfer to Sable, even though Exxon could still be held liable for some obligations, most notably decommissioning.
  • Given the conflict-driven turmoil in the energy markets and the risk of shortages affecting military operations, how is it a stretch to issue a DPA order directing the restart of an important onshore pipeline?
  • A Federal judge for the Central District of California has already opined that the DPA is a “significant statutory grant of authority to the executive, giving the President substantial discretionary power to compel private industry, allocate resources, and incentivize domestic production for national defense.”
  • With oil prices soaring, this is a bad time to attempt to halt a 20+% increase in California oil production.

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Gulf of America lease map: 199 oil and gas leases were wrongfully acquired for carbon disposal purposes. At Sale 261, Repsol acquired 36 nearshore Texas tracts in the Mustang Island and Matagorda Island areas (red blocks at the western end of the map above). Exxon had acquired 163 nearshore Texas tracts (blue in map above) at Sales 257 (94) and 259 (69).

In pursuit of a “$4 trillion industry” funded by tax credits and energy consumers, Exxon tarnished the corporation’s impressive Gulf of Mexico legacy by acquiring oil and gas leases solely for carbon disposal purposes (see caption above). That gambit and Repsol’s copycat strategy have apparently failed.

On June 29, 2026, Energy Intelligence reported that Exxon had begun relinquishing those leases. Kudos to those in the Administration who refused to buckle under pressure from lobbyists seeking to convert the leases to authorize carbon disposal.

That said, this sad chapter in OCS program history may not be over. 94 of the disposal leases have yet to be relinquished. Here is the current status of the improperly acquired leases:

  • All 36 of the Repsol’s Sale 261 leases were relinquished effective 2/19/2026.
  • All 69 of Exxon’s Sale 259 leases were relinquished effective 6/11/2026.
  • None of Exxon’s 94 Sale 257 leases have been relinquished to date. Perhaps these leases are being held as a hedge in case there is another legislative end run or a policy decision that would facilitate conversion of the leases, or for tax/accounting purposes? As things stand, the leases expire in Oct. 2027.

Exxon and Repsol attempted to gain an unfair advantage by acquiring their preferred disposal leases without competition and before leasing and regulatory processes had been established. One could argue that they were fortunate to have avoided criminal penalty consideration given that they knowingly and willfully violated the terms of the sale notices.

The companies will lose their bonus payments which amounted to approximately $25 million for Exxon and $4 million for Repsol. They have also been paying rental fees of $10/acre/year for the Sale 259 and 261 leases, and $7/acre/year for the Sale 257 leases.

Lastly, one company was directly affected by the improper bidding.  Focus Exploration was a second bidder for one of the blocks acquired by Exxon in Sale 259 (red in map below). Presumably, Focus was interested in acquiring the tract for oil and gas exploration purposes, but their bid was a bit lower than Exxon’s. Should Focus be compensated in some manner?

History of the Exxon and Repsol CCS lease acquisitions.

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Image of Who Is Dolly Gee? A Look at the Judge Deciding the Fate of Trump’s Executive Order - The New York Times
Federal Judge Dolly Gee, Central District of California

Sable Offshore and Exxon had alleged that Santa Barbara County’s refusal to transfer title and permits for Santa Ynez Unit facilities from Exxon to Sable amounted to an unconstitutional taking of their property rights. Judge Gee disagreed.

As colorfully put by Nick Welsh at the Santa Barbara Independent, Judge Gee told Sable and Exxon to “go pound sand” (not literally, but the judicial equivalent). The judge refused to even allow Sable to amend their filing. The judge will however allow Exxon to file an amended complaint, given that the company still has vested rights to the facilities and is still on the hook for the decommissioning costs.

As always with these Santa Ynez Unit matters, there is much more to come!

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Gulf of America lease map: 199 oil and gas leases were wrongfully acquired for carbon disposal purposes. At Sale 261, Repsol acquired 36 nearshore Texas tracts in the Mustang Island and Matagorda Island areas (red blocks at the western end of the map above). Exxon had acquired 163 nearshore Texas tracts (blue in map above) at Sales 257 (94) and 259 (69).

As expected, the carbon disposal era in Federal offshore waters is ending before it began, and rightfully so.

Energy Intelligence is reporting that Exxon is relinquishing “more than 160 leases” in nearshore Federal waters off Texas. The actual number of oil and gas leases that the company improperly acquired for carbon disposal purposes is 163 (map above).

The reason being cited for the lease relinquishments is that the Dept. of the Interior has shelved regulations for carbon disposal on the OCS. Kudos to the DOI officials responsible for that decision. Carbon disposal has the support of no one except the companies that hope to profit from it. Further, there is no scenario under which Interior could have allowed these wrongfully acquired oil and gas leases to be converted to carbon disposal leases.

Now that these carbon disposal leases are being relinquished, it would be nice to see Exxon start acquiring OCS oil and gas leases for their intended purposes. Exxon and Mobil are historic Gulf operators who were once important contributors to the success of the OCS program.

History of the Exxon and Repsol CCS lease acquisitions.

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The oil patch is known for booms, busts, mergers, and acquisitions. Hess is now among the once important offshore operators that no longer exist as separate companies. Others include Amoco, Arco, Texaco, Getty, Gulf, Unocal, Sun, Anadarko, BHP, Mobil, Phillips, Noble Energy, Pennzoil, Kerr-McGee, Superior, Nexen, and Newfield.

Hess would probably not have been a Chevron target had they not taken a chance in 2014 when they obtained a 30% position in Exxon’s Stabroek block offshore Guyana. The rest is history, and Stabroek is now the world’s most prized offshore block. Hess had other nice assets in the Gulf, Bakken Shale, and elsewhere, but Stabroek was Chevron’s primary target.

Paying the price for the Hess acquisition are up to 8,000 employees who will be axed by the end of 2026, starting with 575 cuts at the former Hess Tower in Houston on September 26 and matched reductions in Texas, California and North Dakota. The cuts also have to be disappointing to the Federal, Texas and North Dakota governments, given their strong support for oil and gas production. Mass layoffs don’t equate to energy dominance.

Why is the loss of Hess is significant:

  • Hess was a safety compliance leader in both 2023 and 2024.
  • Hess was an active participant in pre-merger lease sales.
  • The combined company is unlikely to be greater than the sum of the parts in terms of US lease acquisition, exploration, and development.
  • Combining companies limits the diversity of geological assessments and exploration strategies.
  • Consolidation limits participation on committees engaged in assessing technology and developing standards. Declining industry participation in these activities, which are critical to offshore safety, has been a historical concern of OCS program leadership.

When the merger was announced, Chevron’s CEO Mike Wirth was quoted as saying “We’ve got too many CEOs per BOE, so consolidation is natural.” That comment makes sense from the perspective of an acquiring CEO. Employees of the companies being acquired have a somewhat different view. They would prefer increasing exploration and production rather than reducing employees.

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I had the pleasure of visiting the Hibernia gravity-based structure while it was still under construction in Bull Arm, Newfoundland (photo). This pioneering facility, where Newfoundland’s offshore production began in Nov. 1997, continues to impress.

In April, Hibernia posted its highest monthly production since August 2021 – 3.1 million barrels or 103,000 bopd. Exxon attributes the production growth to a recent 6-well drilling program. The Hibernia field has produced more than double the original resource estimate of 520 million barrels.

Offshore Newfoundland’s total April production, increased to 9.4 million barrels, with a sharp increase in the value of production (see figure below). This is the highest monthly production level for the province since March 2020, and the second highest monthly production value on record, only behind July 2008.

Meanwhile, production at Hebron, another Exxon GBS structure, has reached record levels this year (chart below). The facility is producing more than 5 million bbls/month.

Finally, Suncor’s decision to refurbish the Terra Nova FPSO and resume production may be paying off given production levels of ~1 million bbls/month.

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Offshore Guyana seismic line

Oil Now Guyana reports that an Exxon artificial intelligence model built using Guyana’s offshore seismic data was able to identify already-discovered crude oil accumulations with a 90% success rate.

Neil Chapman, Exxon: “…in Guyana, we have built an agent, a model…which if we give it the seismic data that we’ve run and we say, go find the crude oil, it can find all the crude oil that we’ve already found with a 90% success rate.”

(Note: Humans are also great at identifying discoveries after the fact 😉. How many false positives were there?)

Chapman said the company has also used artificial intelligence to review well data from across the industry.

“We have analyzed the well data from 50,000 wells that have been drilled in the industry all over the world, 50,000,” Chapman said. “It would have taken us 15 years to do that analysis. We’ve done it in a matter of weeks.” 

Despite the many advances in exploration technology over the years, one caveat remains unchanged: “We don’t know if they’re going to be successful or not until you drill a hole, you can never be sure,” Chapman said. 

AI should enhance not just geophysical interpretations, but all aspects of offshore exploration and production including site surveys, well planning and construction, drilling, well control, structure designs, production and pipeline monitoring, and safety management. Hopefully, the net result will be increased production at lower cost with improved safety and environmental performance, and that the workforce will not be reduced, but will become more efficient.

Stunning picture taken offshore Guyana

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Not offshore, but close😉 Fond memories of my stay at NPRA many years ago.

Strong participation; nice mix of big dogs – Exxon, Shell, ConocoPhillips (CPAI), and Repsol – and independents.

Stats – 3/18/2026 NPRA lease sale:

  • Tracts offered: 625
  • Tracts receiving bids: 187
  • Sum of high bids: $ 163,696,722.2
  • Highest bid: $ 3,649,920.00 by Epoch Resources
  • Companies participating: 11
  • Total bids: 430
CompanyHigh Bids
North Slope Exploration78
Shell/Repsol (joint bids)42
CPAI30
Exxon24
Epoch8
Peritas2
Beacon1
Oil Search1
SE Partners1

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The potential rewards are great – 500+ million barrels of oil, 3 major production platforms, associated pipelines, onshore processing facilities – but can Sable survive the costly legal and administrative challenges? What is Exxon’s plan for the Santa Ynez Unit if Sable should fail?

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