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Posts Tagged ‘oil and gas lease sale’

Attached is the Sale Notice for the 3/3/2027 Cook Inlet oil and gas lease sale.

“The proposed sale would make approximately 1.05 million acres available for leasing in the northern portion of the Cook Inlet Planning Area, the same area offered in the Big Beautiful Cook Inlet 1 sale, held in March 2026.” ZERO bids were received at this sale!) Sale summary:

There are currently no active Federal leases in the Cook Inlet. The last well was drilled in 2007. That well was drilled directionally from shore into the Cosmopolitan Unit, a State Unit that included 2 Federal leases at the time.

BlueCrest Energy is operator of the Cosmopolitan Unit. The Alaska Department of Natural Resources threatened to revoke BlueCrest’s Cosmopolitan leases for not meeting the gas drilling requirements, but BlueCrest has reported that they have secured the financing to meet that obligation.

Hilcorp Energy is now the largest oil and gas operator and the largest gas supplier in Alaska. They were the last Federal leaseholder in the Cook Inlet area.

Below are the 8 leases that Hilcorp still held in 2024:

Will Hilcorp participate in the 2027 sale? BlueCrest? Anyone?

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Not offshore, but close😉 Fond memories of my stay at NPRA many years ago.

Strong participation; nice mix of big dogs – Exxon, Shell, ConocoPhillips (CPAI), and Repsol – and independents.

Stats – 3/18/2026 NPRA lease sale:

  • Tracts offered: 625
  • Tracts receiving bids: 187
  • Sum of high bids: $ 163,696,722.2
  • Highest bid: $ 3,649,920.00 by Epoch Resources
  • Companies participating: 11
  • Total bids: 430
CompanyHigh Bids
North Slope Exploration78
Shell/Repsol (joint bids)42
CPAI30
Exxon24
Epoch8
Peritas2
Beacon1
Oil Search1
SE Partners1

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One Big Beautiful Gulf of America

In JPMorgan’s view, the stage is set for a potential decline of as much as 50% in oil prices through the end of 2027, taking Brent crude down to the low $30s per barrel range from its current level of around $63.50.

Will bearish forecasts by JPMorgan and others temper bidding at the highly anticipated, and long awaited, Gulf lease sale to be held on 12/10/2025? Probably not for these reasons:

  • This will be the first lease sale in 2 years.
  • The terms are very attractive.
  • Given the longer term nature of deepwater development, production will not begin for years following lease issuance. Note that anticipated first production for 3 new high-pressure deepwater projects, Kaskida, Sparta, and Tiber, will be 23, 16, and 21 years after the field discovery dates.
  • To the extent that price forecasts are reliable at all (see no. 9 in the image below), the degree of uncertainty for longer term forecasts is particularly high.
  • The sale has to live up to its name Big Beautiful Gulf 1 (BBG1). 😉

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The announcement was during an interview this morning (4/4/2025) with Lawrence Jones on Fox News, and is consistent with expectations and the current 5 year leasing plan.

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