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BSEE data

Facility inspections are underway. MMA report as of noon ET today:

MMA report as of noon ET today:

The proposed Sale Notice is attached. The terms, summarized below, are the same as for the other BBG sales. See the sale map for the blocks that correspond with with the legend categories.

Per MMA, nearly 1.3 million barels/day of Gulf of America oil production was shut-in as of noon ET today. Given that ~95% of Gulf production is from deepwater facilities, the high shut-in volume and the storm track (map below) tell us that major deepwater platforms in the eastern areas of the Gulf are shut-in. It’s also apparent that operators are prudently shutting in platforms well outside the projected hurricane track.

JL Daeschler informs us that Equinor may shun further investments in the UK if new oil and gas fields at Rosebank and Jackdaw are not approved.

Rosebank and Jackdaw are operated by Adura, an Equinor-Shell joint venture. Much of the infrastructure for Jackaw is already in place, and gas production could begin this winter when it may be badly needed. Production at Rosebank, which is primarily an oil field, could begin in the first half of 2027.

BBC quotes Equinor chief Anders Opedal:

“The question will be: is the UK investable in the future? I hope it will not come to that.”

“It’s a political choice.The North Sea oil and gas industry started on the UK side. We learned from the UK and it’s actually the same geology on both sides of the border – several fields actually cross it.”

Ithaca Energy is a 20% Rosebank owner. Ithaca has an Israel connection which has further incited project opponents. (Which do left-wing activists hate more – oil or Israel?)

Sadly, as JL laments, the UK is reaping what it has sown. Approval of Rosebank and Jackdaw is a small but important step toward energy sanity.

MMA data as of noon ET today.

MMA estimates that approximately 9.24% of current Gulf of America oil production and 3.36% of natural gas production were shut-in as of 1130 CT today. No personnel had been evacuated.

The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit has not yet ruled on the merits of the challenge to PHMSA’s assertion of exclusive Federal jurisdiction over Sable Offshore Corp.’s Las Flores (Santa Ynez) pipeline segments (CA-324 and CA-325) or related restart approvals. A three-judge panel ordered additional briefing after a status conference, and a decision is expected to take months.

The 9th Circuit panel held a video status conference on 10/5/2026, and consolidated petitions from the Environmental Defense Center (and other groups) and the State of California. The panel ordered further briefing rather than issuing an immediate decision on the core jurisdictional question—whether the onshore pipeline segments engage in “interstate commerce” under the Pipeline Safety Act (making them subject to exclusive PHMSA authority rather than California’s Office of the State Fire Marshal).

Concise background summary from Grok: PHMSA reclassified the pipelines as interstate in late 2025 (asserting jurisdiction because they transport crude from Outer Continental Shelf platforms through California to a Kern County terminal, with arguments that onshore processing does not break the flow of interstate commerce). This enabled restart approvals and special permits (initially emergency, later a longer-term one) that environmental groups and California challenge as unlawful, preemptive of state authority, and deficient under the Pipeline Safety Act, NEPA, and ESA. Sable restarted operations earlier in 2026 amid related litigation (including Defense Production Act issues and consent-decree matters in district court). The Ninth Circuit cases are Environmental Defense Center et al. v. PHMSA (No. 25-8059) and the consolidated California petition (originally No. 26-508 / related Nos.).