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Add the unprecedented events of the last two weeks to the long and troubled history of the Santa Ynez Unit dating back to the Offshore Storage & Treatment facility days. There are no parallels in the history of the US OCS program.

To date in March:

3/3/2026: The Dept. of Justice issues an opinion asserting that, under the Defense Production Act of 1950 (DPA), an order issued by the President or his delegee would preempt California laws currently impeding Sable from resuming production and operating the associated pipeline infrastructure.

3/13/2026: Secretary of Energy Chris Wright issues an order to Sable invoking the DPA to immediately prioritize and allocate pipeline transportation services for hydrocarbons from the SYU through the Santa Ynez Pipeline System (SYPS).

3/14/2026: A letter from California Parks and Recreation demands that Sable remove all four miles of its pipeline from Gaviota State Park.

3/14/2026: Sable resumes the transportation of Santa Ynez Unit oil through the SYPS from Las Flores Canyon (LFC) to Pentland Station. Prior to resuming hydrocarbon transportation from LFC to Sable’s sales point at Pentland Station, Sable had approximately 540,000 barrels of processed crude oil in storage at LFC, representing more than the line fill volume for the SYPS between LFC and Pentland Station.

3/16/2026: Sable resumes oil production at anticipated rate of 50,000 bopd and expects first sales by April 1, 2026. Production ramp-up is anticipated to proceed with full production resumption at Platforms Harmony and Heritage this month and Platform Hondo in June 2026

Broken blade at GE wind turbine at Björkvattnet wind farm in Sweden. Alexander Pohl photo posted at Recharge
Per Recharge: The first blade break at the wind farm was probably caused by a manufacturing defect, and the second was damaged during installation. According to regional newspaper Jämtlandstidning, local residents were complaining about not getting sufficient information about the third such incident.

“We don’t know what’s happening because we’re not told anything,” Terese Björk, who witnessed the broken blade on Friday, told the newspaper.

This is reminiscent of the delay in informing the public about the Vineyard Wind GE Vernova failure. The investigation report about that incident has still not been issued nearly two years after the blade failure.

This follows the directive from Energy Secretary Chris Wright on Friday.

However, quoting Nick Welsh of the Santa Barbara Independent: “With Sable Offshore, one thing’s for certain; there’s always more to come.”

Vineyard Wind has finished installing turbine blades at their 62 turbine (186 blades) project. Yet the Federal investigation report on the July 2024 blade failure has still not been published. How is this acceptable?

The primary purpose of the independent investigation is to prevent recurrences at this or other projects in the US and worldwide. Available data suggest that blade failures are far too common.

Nearly two years have now elapsed since the Vineyard Wind blade failure. Important questions remain about the failure mechanisms, the manufacturing, testing, and quality control, a fabrication report waiver, the role of the CVA, debris recovery, and environmental impacts. Where is the investigation report?

Cape Cod Times photo

(Bloomberg) — The Trump administration on Friday took action to clear the way for oil production off the California coast in a bid to ease the global fuel pressures created by the war with Iran.

The announcement by Energy Secretary Chris Wright follows an executive order signed by President Donald Trump on Friday and directs Sable Offshore Corp., a Houston-based company, to begin restoring operations for the Santa Ynez Unit and Santa Ynez Pipeline System in California.

What about Judge Geck’s injunction and the case before the 9th Circuit? How are they affected by the EO and DOJ opinion?

Perhaps Four World Capital Management wasn’t crazy after all.

More Santa Ynez Unit posts.

DOE (3/11/2026): “Earlier today, 32 member nations of the International Energy Agency unanimously agreed to President Trump’s request to lower energy prices with a coordinated release of 400 million barrels of oil and refined products from their respective reserves. 

“As part of this effort, President Trump authorized the Department of Energy to release 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, beginning next week. This will take approximately 120 days to deliver based on planned discharge rates. 

This will reduce the SPR to ~ 243 million bbls, 1/3 of capacity and the lowest level since it was initially filled in 2010. Market disturbances and national elections are too frequent to have confidence that the SPR will be refilled, even to the 500 million bbl level.

Meanwhile, the oil markets didn’t seem to be impressed by the announcement.

Only 13 companies participated in the lease sale:

  • Chevron .
  • Shell
  • Walter
  • Houston Energy
  • LLOG (now owned by Harbour Energy)
  • Oxy/Anadarko
  • Woodside
  • BP
  • Red Willow
  • Focus Exploration
  • Renaissance Offshore
  • Navitas Petroleum
  • CL&F Offshore

The No-Shows:

US supermajors once active in the Gulf that have become perennial No-Shows:

  • Exxon
  • ConocoPhillips

International majors with a Gulf presence:

  • Equinor
  • Eni
  • Total
  • Petrobras
  • Repsol

Typically active independents

  • Arena
  • Cantium
  • Beacon Offshore
  • Talos
  • Kosmos
  • Murphy

Why was the participation so poor?

  • Only 3 months between BBG1 and BBG2
  • Lease sale certainty reduces urgency
  • Concerns about longer term policy changes?
  • Mergers reduce participation and competition?
  • New ownership, change in priorities?
  • More limited geologic prospectivity?

It would be helpful to hear from some of the companies that chose not to participate.

Although no one was expecting a barnburner only 3 months after the previous sale, BBG2 was historically weak for a Gulf-wide sale. The table below compares BBG2 with the previous 4 Gulf sales, none of which were particularly impressive.

However, the sale was not without highlights. There was some spirited bidding for tracts in the Green Canyon area. BP’s bid was the highest of 5 for GC Block 404. BP bid $21 million for the block, 45% of the high bids sum for the entire sale. The BP bid was also $20 million higher than the next highest bid for that tract (ouch!).

Also interesting was Chevron edging Shell $5,887,188.00 to $5,501,240.00 to acquire GC Block 492.

Sale No.257259261BBG1BBG2
date11/17/20213/29/202312/20/202312/10/20253/11/2026
companies
participating
3332263013
total bids22332842316121938
tracts receiving bids21432442275118125
sum of all bids
$millions
198.5309.8441.9371.969.9
sum of high bids
($millions)
101.7263.8382.2279.447.0
highest bid
company
block
$10,001,252
Anadarko
AC 259
$15,911,947
Chevron
KC 96
$25,500,085
Anadarko
MC 389
$18,592,086
Chevron
KC 25
$21,009,990
bp
GC 404
most high bids
company
sum ($millions)
46
bp
29.0
75
Chevron
108.0
65
Shell
69.0
50
bp
61.0
6
Anadarko (Oxy)
4.0
sum of high bids ($millions)
company
47.1
Chevron
108
Chevron
88.3
Hess
61.0
bp
22.6
bp
most high bids by independent14-DG Expl.13-Beacon
13-Red Willow
22-Red Willow14-Murphy5-LLOG
1excludes 36 leases improperly acquired for carbon disposal purposes; 2excludes 69 leases improperly acquired for carbon disposal purposes; 3excludes 94 leases improperly acquired for carbon disposal purposes

For historical comparison purposes, Gulf Sale 206 drew $3.7 billion ($5.6 billion in today’s dollars) in 2008. Twenty-siz sales between 1972 and 2013 garnered more than $1 billion in high bids.

Sale stats

Sen. Mike Lee has introduced legislation to repeal the Jones Act, which is drawing additional scrutiny for the increased cost of transporting US oil production and LNG to US ports.

Because facilities on the Outer Continental Shelf are US ports under the Jones Act, the Act has been problematic for both the offshore oil and wind industries. The attached Customs and Border Patrol document delves into the nuances of Jones Act compliance for lifting operations (p.14-15) and “points” on the OCS (p.17).

EXAMPLE: CBP interprets the OCSLA to extend the Jones Act to artificial islands and similar structures, as well as to mobile oil drilling rigs, drilling platforms, and other devices attached to the seabed of the OCS for the purpose of resource extraction and/or exploration operations. Such objects located on the OCS are considered points or places in the United States for purposes of the Jones Act. Similarly, floating warehouse vessels, when anchored on the OCS to supply drilling rigs on the OCS, are also coastwise points.

Check out this complex CBP ruling on the transportation of well fluids from one location in a subsea well cluster to another. See if you understand and agree with their conclusion (below).

The transportation of fluids as described in the FACTS section above, by a dynamically-positioned, foreign-flagged drill ship between wells located within an IF (integrated facility), which subsequently, transships the fluids to a coastwise qualified barge for transportation to a coastwise point, violates 46 U.S.C. § 55102.

On a related matter, it’s still unclear to me whether the attachment of the lower marine riser package to a subsea wellhead makes a floating, dynamically positioned drillship a US port under the Jones Act.

Gulf of America oil and gas lease sale BBG2 will be held tomorrow. The Notice of Sale is attached.

Although Big Beautiful Gulf 1 (BBG1) was rather lackluster, BBG 2 is unlikely to match it in terms of the number of bids and their sum. Prior to BBG1, there had been no lease sale for two years. BBG 2 is being held only 3 months later.

Given the short duration between sales, the bid evaluations for BBG1 are not yet completed. However, the sale notice advises that any block which received a bid in BBG1 is excluded from BBG2.

Will the recent increase in oil prices influence bidding? Probably not given the longer term nature of offshore development and expectations that the current price spike will be of short duration. Onshore shale oil production is more responsive to price fluctuations.