The Canning River, seen here in 2018, flows from the Brooks Range into the Beaufort Sea along the western edge of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. The river marks the boundary between the refuge, which is managed by the U.S. Bureau of Land Management, and state land on the North Slope. Results of an oil lease sale that offered 58 tracts in the refuge’s coastal plan drew bids on five tracts. The highest-dollar bid was for a tract right at the Canning River edge of the refuge’s border with state land.(Photo by Lisa Hupp/U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service)
Yesterday’s mandated One Big Beautiful Bill sale in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge turned out to be a one-on-one competition between an Alaskan independent and a State agency! Only 5 of the 58 tracts received bids, and the high bid was $1.7 million.
The competitors:
HEX Energy, an Alaskan independent: 4 bids, 2 high bids
Alaska Industrial Development and Export Authority (AIDEA), the state government’s economic development agency: 5 bids, 1 high bid
The implications for Arctic offshore sales are not good, but oil companies can be fickle, and opinions and investment strategies are subject to change, especially in the Arctic.
red=blocks receiving bids at BBG2; blue=BBG1 and Sale 261 leases; green=active leases issued prior to Sale 261
Although bidding at Sale BBG2 was rather subdued, Gulf heavyweights BP, Chevron, Shell, and Oxy/Anadarko, along with increasingly important Woodside Energy, competed for the 4 red blocks in the Green Canyon area (map above and table below). These elephant hunters presumably see excellent Paleogene (Wilcox) prospectivity in those blocks.
17 of the sale’s 38 bids (45%) and $32.8 milion of the sale’s $47 million in high bids (70%) were for these 4 blocks. BP’s $21 million bid for GC 404 was by far the sale’s highest bid.
Green Canyon Block No.
No. of bidders
High Bidder
Bid
404
5
BP
$21,009,990
405
2
BP
$885,99
448
5
Chevron
$4,967,067
492
5
Chevron
$5,887,188
At this time, the high costs and technical complexities (e.g. deepwaterand high pressure/high temperature reservoirs) limit Wilcox development to major oil companies and well financed, technically savvy independents. Expect some of the international majors that did not participate in BBG2 to acquire lease interest at a later date, which will again raise questions about the merits of joint bidding restrictions.
From AAPG graphic-Wilcox trend map. Eastern area can be subdivided into an outboard and inboard trend, with wells in the latter area showing variable thickness due to salt tectonics contemporaneous with deposition (From Zarra et al. 2019’s AAPG Search and Discovery article).
Imbedded below is a good presentation on the Paleogene Wilcox by Dr. Mike Sweet, Univ. of Texas:
Although no one was expecting a barnburner only 3 months after the previous sale, BBG2 was historically weak for a Gulf-wide sale. The table below compares BBG2 with the previous 4 Gulf sales, none of which were particularly impressive.
However, the sale was not without highlights. There was some spirited bidding for tracts in the Green Canyon area. BP’s bid was the highest of 5 for GC Block 404. BP bid $21 million for the block, 45% of the high bids sum for the entire sale. The BP bid was also $20 million higher than the next highest bid for that tract (ouch!).
Also interesting was Chevron edging Shell $5,887,188.00 to $5,501,240.00 to acquire GC Block 492.
Sale No.
257
259
261
BBG1
BBG2
date
11/17/2021
3/29/2023
12/20/2023
12/10/2025
3/11/2026
companies participating
33
32
26
30
13
total bids
2233
2842
3161
219
38
tracts receiving bids
2143
2442
2751
181
25
sum of all bids $millions
198.5
309.8
441.9
371.9
69.9
sum of high bids ($millions)
101.7
263.8
382.2
279.4
47.0
highest bid company block
$10,001,252 Anadarko AC 259
$15,911,947 Chevron KC 96
$25,500,085 Anadarko MC 389
$18,592,086 Chevron KC 25
$21,009,990 bp GC 404
most high bids company sum ($millions)
46 bp 29.0
75 Chevron 108.0
65 Shell 69.0
50 bp 61.0
6 Anadarko (Oxy) 4.0
sum of high bids ($millions) company
47.1 Chevron
108 Chevron
88.3 Hess
61.0 bp
22.6 bp
most high bids by independent
14-DG Expl.
13-Beacon 13-Red Willow
22-Red Willow
14-Murphy
5-LLOG
1excludes 36 leases improperly acquired for carbon disposal purposes; 2excludes 69 leases improperly acquired for carbon disposal purposes; 3excludes 94 leases improperly acquired for carbon disposal purposes
For historical comparison purposes, Gulf Sale 206 drew $3.7 billion ($5.6 billion in today’s dollars) in 2008. Twenty-siz sales between 1972 and 2013 garnered more than $1 billion in high bids.
Gulf of America oil and gas lease sale BBG2 will be held tomorrow. The Notice of Sale is attached.
Although Big Beautiful Gulf 1 (BBG1) was rather lackluster, BBG 2 is unlikely to match it in terms of the number of bids and their sum. Prior to BBG1, there had been no lease sale for two years. BBG 2 is being held only 3 months later.
Given the short duration between sales, the bid evaluations for BBG1 are not yet completed. However, the sale notice advises that any block which received a bid in BBG1 is excluded from BBG2.
Will the recent increase in oil prices influence bidding? Probably not given the longer term nature of offshore development and expectations that the current price spike will be of short duration. Onshore shale oil production is more responsive to price fluctuations.
BOEM: At this time, no bids have been received. In accordance with OBBBA, we will continue to hold leasing opportunities for Cook Inlet so that industry has a regular, predictable federal leasing schedule that ensures we achieve President Trump’s American Energy Dominance Agenda.
“The Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) is initiating the first steps that could potentially lead to a lease sale for minerals on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) offshore Alaska by publishing this request for information and interest (RFI).”
While the majors and large independents garner most of the attention, smaller companies are an integral part of the mosaic that is the Gulf of America petroleum province. Some focus on producing and identifying remaining reserves on the shelf; others partner in deepwater projects.
Sale participants like Arena, Cantium, Walter, W&T, Beacon, Kosmos, and Houston Energy are well established Gulf leaseholders. Red Willow has attracted attention as a successful Southern Ute energy corporation.
The sale was beautifully conducted by BOEM, and Leslie Beyer – Assistant Secretary for Land and Minerals Management, Dept of the Interior – and Matt Giacona, Acting BOEM Director, delivered strong messages in support of the OCS oil and gas program.
However, as a colleague commented just after the sale, it was beautiful but not big. He and I expected more given the time since the last sale and the attractive terms.
Below is a comparison with the previous 3 Gulf sales. More to follow.
Sale No.
257
259
261
BBG1
date
11/17/2021
3/29/2023
12/20/2023
12/10/2025
companies participating
33
32
26
30
total bids
2233
2842
3161
219
tracts receiving bids
2143
2442
2751
181
sum of all bids $millions
198.5
309.8
441.9
371.9
sum of high bids ($millions)
101.7
263.8
382.2
279.4
highest bid company block
$10,001,252.00 Anadarko AC 259
$15,911,947 Chevron KC 96
$25,500,085 Anadarko MC 389
$18,592,086 Chevron KC 25
most high bids company sum ($millions)
46 bp 29.0
75 Chevron 108.0
65 Shell 69.0
50 bp 61.0
sum of high bids ($millions) company
47.1 Chevron
108 Chevron
88.3 Hess
61.0 bp
most high bids by independent
14-DG Expl.
13-Beacon 13-Red Willow
22-Red Willow
14-Murphy
1excludes 36 leases improperly acquired for carbon disposal purposes; 2excludes 69 leases improperly acquired for carbon disposal purposes; 3excludes 94 leases improperly acquired for carbon disposal purposes
BOEM informs (post below) that Wednesday’s BBG1 oil and gas lease sale will be streamed live here at 10 AM ET. Given that this is the first sale in two years and the first BBG sale, some dignitaries may be in attendance.
On December 10, we will host the Big Beautiful Gulf 1 oil and gas lease sale, our first under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.
Bud's Offshore Energy (BOE) 