… to be able to speak openly and candidly about issues that have been an important part of my professional life for more than a half century.
Whether you represent Big Oil, Big Gas, Big Wind, Big Green, Big Stick (regulators 😀), Big Swamp (Washington DC friends 😉), or none of the above, thank you for visiting this modest, independent blog.
Regardless of your faith, nationality, political views, or thoughts about world events and offshore energy, I hope you have the opportunity to spend time with friends and family this weekend.
I’m posting Sunday’s 60 Minutes segment that focused on deep sea mining and the failure of the US to ratify the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS). Supplementary comments:
Most Federal employees involved with ocean energy policy, past and present, have supported US government ratification of UNCLOS.
The offshore industry has long supported UNCLOS. Industry trade associations, including API, IADC, and NOIA, are on the record as favoring ratification.
While concerns about UN management of deep sea mining access are understandable, some coordinated administrative structure is needed.
The Metals Company and other companies pursuing deep sea mining opportunities clearly disagree with the assertion that ocean floor mineral harvesting is not economically viable.
Remembering the 123 offshore workers who lost their lives on this dayin 1980 in one of the offshore industry’s great tragedies 🙏
See the excellent interview with Magne Ognedal that describes the evolution of Norway’s highly regarded offshore regulatory regime following the Alexander Kielland tragedy.
A new report ranks eight key energy industry sectors based on their ability to meet the growing demand for affordable, reliable, and clean electric power generation.
As governments around the nation attempt to impose a transition from traditional energy resources to energy sources open referred to as renewables, natural gas is the energy source that is best suited to integrate with the intermittency inherent in the use of wind and solar. Gas provides a reliable, affordable, and increasingly clean source of energy in both traditional and “carbon-constrained” applications.
Gas faces headwinds in the form of increasingly extreme net zero energy policies that will constrict supplies if implemented as proposed. Gas could also improve overall reliability if onsite storage was prioritized to help avoid supply disruptions that can occur in just-in-time pipeline deliveries during periods of extreme weather and demand.
Canadian and US approvals were granted and CNOOC acquired Nexen (Canada) in 2013.
Nexen’s Guyana interest was not mentioned in the press announcement, and appears to have been a rather minor consideration in the acquisition.
So, an apparent afterthought in CNOOC’s takeover of Nexen has (1) proven to be extremely profitable, (2) given the company and the Chinese government leverage in the Exxon-Chevron supermajor dispute, and (3) opened the door for CNOOC to increase their interest in the massive Stabroek field.
Swimming upstream against the Federal policy current, Gulf of Mexico drilling is demonstrating impressive forward progress. Baker Hughes reports 22 active GoM rigs on 3/15/2024, an increase of 3 from the previous week.
Glancing at the charts, this appears to be the highest GoM rig count since Nov. 2019, and is double the recent low of 11 in 2022.
It’s unclear whether Baker Hughes is including the CCS drilling operation offshore Texas. If so, the actual oil and gas rig count is 21 rather than 22.
Baker Hughes also reports 1 active rig offshore California (decommissioning?) and 1 active rig offshore Alaska (Endicott or Northstar?)
Per Baker Hughes, no rigs are currently active offshore Canada.
In 2023, LLOG was the 6th biggest oil producer in the Gulf of Mexico trailing only Shell, bp, Anadarko, Chevron, and Murphy. As a natural gas producer, LLOG ranked fifth ahead of major GoM operators like Chevron and Hess.
Boelte built LLOG into a company with a strong commitment to safety and environmental protection. In that regard, the company achieved BOE Honor Roll status in 2023 and 2022.
U.S. crude oil stockpiles in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) at year-end will be at or exceeding the level prior to a massive 180 million barrel sale two years ago, U.S. Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said on Monday.
While the Department of Energy only expects to replenish by the end of this year about 40 million barrels since the 180 million sale, another 140 million barrels that would have been drained from 2024-2027 will stay in the SPR due to the cancellation in 2022 of congressionally mandated sales.
The department declined to provide a final number of stocks expected to be in the reserve at the end of the year.
Not withdrawing 140 million more bbls does not add 140 million bbls to the depleted reserve.
Based on the Secretary’s comments, the over-under for the reserve at the end of the year is 390 million bbls. (Take the “under.”)
The actual SPR status:
Sec. Granholm is also quoted as saying the administration’s LNG permitting pause “will be long behind us by this time next year.” Skeptics might see this as confirmation that the permitting pause was strictly for election year political purposes.
A post from last March discussed the high and seemingly unfair royalty and rental rates for new leases in the shallow waters of the Gulf of Mexico shelf. A 50% increase in the shelf royalty rate for lease sales 259 and 261 combined with rather punitive rental rates have likely contributed to the sharp decline in bidding for shelf lease blocks (see table below).
This decline in shelf bidding is unfortunate because the smaller companies that operate in the shallow waters of the Gulf are critical to sustaining the production infrastructure. These companies are also significant producers of environmentally favorable nonassociated (gas-well) natural gas.
lease sale
shelf blocks with bids (excluding CCS bids)
sum of high shelf bids ($million, excluding CCS bids)
BOEM has completed their evaluation of the Sale 261 shelf bids (see below). Each of these blocks received only a single bid, and every bid was accepted. Ironically, the invalid CCS bids for blocks that have no oil and gas value, were the first to be accepted. This was also the case for Sales 257 and 259.
Company
Block
high bid ($) per acre ($)
date accepted
Byron
SM 60
128,750 25.75
2/2
Byron
SM 70
182,235 33.32
2/20
Cantium
GI 35
125,000 25.00
2/20
Cantium
GI 36
125,000 25.00
2/20
Cantium
MP 314
125,000 25.00
3/12
Cantium
SP 63
125,000 25.00
3/12
Arena
EI 231
135,000 27.18
2/20
Arena
EI 277
135,000 27.18
2/20
Arena
EI 281
135,000 27.18
2/20
Arena
EI 340
135,000 27.18
2/20
Arena
EI 343
135,000 27.18
2/20
Arena
WD 119
135,000 26.75
3/12
Focus
V 152
121,152 25.16
2/20
Repsol
36 CCS bids
187,200 (1) 32.50
1/23
(1) All of the Repsol bids were $32.50/ac. Total bids varied by block size, but were $187,200 for the 5760 acre blocks.
Suggestions:
Seek a legislative fix to the Inflation Reduction Act😉 provision that established a 1/6 royalty rate floor for all OCS leases (formerly the royalty rate was 1/8 for leases on the shelf).
In the interim, administratively lower the royalty for shelf leases to 1/6 (from 18 3/4%).
For future oil and gas lease sales, accept all high bids that exceed the specified minimum bid (currently $25/ac for the shelf). The Gulf of Mexico shelf has been extensively explored and developed for 70 years. While prospects remain, they are generally marginal as evidenced by the recent lease sale results. Fair market value is what any company is willing to bid (above the specified minimum).
Focus on assuring that lease purchasers are technically qualified to minimize safety risks, and that financial assurance for decommissioning (for new and existing leases owned by the high bidder) has been fully addressed.
Rincon Island and the onshore facility were constructed in 1959 and used for oil and gas production. In December 2017, Rincon Island Limited Partnership, the most recent lessee, transferred its lease interests to the State after becoming financially insolvent. Phase 1 of decommissioning included the plugging and abandonment of all oil and gas wells and removal of service equipment at Rincon Island.
The proposed Phase 2 project, analyzed within the Environmental Impact Report (executive summary attached), would prudently retain Rincon Island and the Rincon Island Causeway in their current configuration. Phase 3 will prepare Rincon Island and the Onshore Facility to be leased for yet-to-be determined new uses.
Bud's Offshore Energy (BOE) 