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Assuming no significant tropical storm shutdowns this month, we should get a good read on the impact of the pipeline outage when the EIA production data for August are posted.

But late Thursday, a Shell spokesperson said that repairs were underway and that the company expected both pipelines to be back in service Friday.

CNN

This is a good example of the interconnectivity of deepwater projects with major Shell, Chevron, and Equinor facilities shut-in as a result of a relatively minor downstream pipeline incident.

Mars crude price appears to have reacted to the shut-in news:

A small pipeline leak (estimated 2 bbl spill) at an onshore booster station is having a major impact on Gulf of Mexico production. Per Reuters, as much as 600,000 bopd could be temporarily shut-in. GoM production averaged 1.6 million bopd in May.

These major platforms are reported to be shut-in:

  • Shell: Mars, Ursa, and Olympus
  • Chevron: Jack/St. Malo, Tahiti, and Big Foot
  • Equinor: Titan

Shell, the pipeline operator, did not provide an estimate on the resumption of production.

They are listed here. This one is the most entertaining 😀

AMENDMENT TO SENATE AMENDMENT TO H.R. 5376
OFFERED BY MR. ROY OF TEXAS
Strike line 1, page 1, and all that follows.

United Oil & Gas

Jamaican Energy Minister Daryl Vaz “cautiously anticipates a play-opening exploration well declaration by 2024.”

bnamericas

With extensive seismic data coverage, including 2,250 km2 of 3D data, numerous plays and prospects have already been identified and mapped across the area – leading to over 2.4 billion barrels unrisked mean prospective resources being assigned to the licence. The drill-ready, high-impact Colibri prospect alone contains mean prospective resources of 406 mmbbls.

United Oil & Gas

The Colibri prospect is in 750 m of water, and according to this article, would be developed with a tenstion-leg platform if a commercial discovery is made.

BOE will be following this interesting project closely.

This interesting IER analysis of the US oil boom follows the methodology used by the White House to justify the unprecedented SPR withdrawals.

The bottom line is a $2/gallon savings to consumers totaling more than $2 trillion. As is the case with natural gas, most of the production boom is attributable to operations on private lands, without which we would be in deep economic trouble.

Elements Newsletter

Where would we, and the world, be today without the shale gas revolution? 12.5 years after posting about this amazing success story, I’m still waiting for the national celebration!

For a reminder about the environmental advantages of natural gas in general, and nonassociated offshore gas in particular, see this post.

  • Largest-ever one year decline – 151.4 million bbl or 24.4% (see table below)
  • 35.3% decline since 2010 (see chart below)
  • 69 consecutive weeks of decline – 4/9/2021 to 7/29/2022
  • For the first time, broke the 500 million barrel threshold (on the downside): 6/24/2022
  • Lowest inventory since 5/17/1985 when the reserve was still being filled
7/30/2021621.3 million bbls 
7/29/2022469.9 million bbls
EIA data

The dashed red line outlines China’s claim. Needless to say, Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan, and Vietnam differ with China’s creative interpretation.

Map Source: CENTER FOR STRATEGIC AND INTERNATIONAL STUDIES, PERMANENT COURT OF ARBITRATION

In recent years, satellite imagery has shown China’s increased efforts to reclaim land in the South China Sea by physically increasing the size of islands or creating new islands altogether. In addition to piling sand onto existing reefs, China has constructed ports, military installations, and airstrips—particularly in the Paracel and Spratly Islands, where it has twenty and seven outposts, respectively.

Global Conflict Tracker

Never mind that Beijing’s claims are fundamentally incompatible with established international law on maritime boundaries, the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, which China has ratified and by which it professes to abide. Never mind, as well, that the claims have been ruled fraudulent by an international tribunal in The Hague.

ForeignPolicy.com