

Meanwhile, no new leases have been issued in Federal waters immediately offshore from the SPR sites (see map below) for 580 days, the longest leasing gap since 1958.

Posted in energy policy, Gulf of Mexico, Offshore Energy - General, tagged offshore leasing, oil reserves, SPR on June 21, 2022| Leave a Comment »


Meanwhile, no new leases have been issued in Federal waters immediately offshore from the SPR sites (see map below) for 580 days, the longest leasing gap since 1958.

Posted in energy policy, Uncategorized, tagged Apple, Exxon, Forbes, profits on June 18, 2022| Leave a Comment »
Posted in energy policy, Offshore Energy - General, Regulation, tagged API, Exxon, letter to refiners, refiners response on June 17, 2022| Leave a Comment »
Good response from Exxon to the White House letter.
In the short term, the U.S. government could enact measures often used in emergencies following hurricanes or other supply disruptions — such as waivers of Jones Act provisions and some fuel specifications to increase supplies. Longer term, government can promote investment through clear and consistent policy that supports U.S. resource development, such as regular and predictable lease sales, as well as streamlined regulatory approval and support for infrastructure such as pipelines.
Exxon
Perhaps Exxon will return to the Gulf of Mexico if the Administration commits to regular and predictable oil and gas lease sales. The company hasn’t drilled a well in the Gulf since 2019.
The longer API letter comments on the fundamentals of refining markets and operations while also addressing the Administration’s “end fossil fuel rhetoric” and negative regulatory signals. Who would want to make major refinery investments under these circumstances?
Posted in energy policy, Gulf of Mexico, Offshore Energy - General, Regulation, tagged flaring, flaring data, Gulf of Mexico, OIG report, reporting on June 16, 2022| Leave a Comment »
We determined that over approximately 5 years, the energy company’s venting and flaring activities exceeded regulatory limits without the required approvals, resulting in a loss of Federal mineral royalties and resources. More specifically, we identified approximately 229,066 MCF of vented and flared natural gas as suspicious or exceeding the allowable amount across four platforms in the Gulf of Mexico between January 2014 and April 2020. We presented our findings to ONRR, which assisted us in analyzing the energy company’s venting and flaring activities and determining the amount of lost Federal mineral royalties. Based on this analysis, ONRR submitted and secured a proof of claim in the amount of $712,857.82 for unpaid mineral royalties during the energy company’s bankruptcy proceeding.
OIG report 6/13/2022
Comments:
Posted in energy policy, Gulf of Mexico, Offshore Energy - General, tagged energy poverty, environmental justice, GHG emissions, Lease Sale 257, US energy policy on June 16, 2022| Leave a Comment »
The primary goal of energy policy should be ample, reliable supplies that are sufficient to ensure reasonable consumer prices. The “Backup Plan” (below) is only acceptable in cartoons.

From an offshore energy policy standpoint, remember this:
Gulf of Mexico Lease Sale 257 was vacated on 1/27/2022 because DC Federal Court Judge Contreras ruled that BOEM failed to consider the “positive” effect that higher prices would have on reducing foreign consumption and the associated GHG emissions. Apparently the Court failed to consider that higher oil and gas prices would:
The Administration chose not to appeal that decision, although API and the State of Louisiana have. It has now been 575 days since the last Federal offshore oil and gas lease sale.
Posted in energy policy, tagged letter to refiners, President Biden, White House on June 15, 2022| 1 Comment »
Posted in energy policy, tagged Daniel Yergin, ESG, pipelines, Saudi Arabia on June 14, 2022| Leave a Comment »
Some quotes that I found particularly interesting in Dan Yergin’s Forbes Interview:
“We don’t have a physical shortage of natural gas in the U.S., we have a shortage of pipelines. It’s very hard to get any new major pipelines done. In fact, it’s somewhere between very hard, and impossible.”
“Some of the assumptions about how easy things would be [related to the energy transition] are turning out to not have been correct. I think there is some reassessment of ESG [Environmental, Social, and Governance investment] going on, and at the same time, many investors also want good returns. Therefore, they’re looking at the oil and gas sector in a way they weren’t looking at it a year ago.”
With regard to concerns about US government policy panic: “For instance, a ban on oil exports. First of all, if you banned product exports, it would actually send gasoline prices higher…. If limits were put on LNG exports, it would be a terrible shock to Western unity and Europe’s ability to stay the course.”
On Saudi Arabia: “I think the old relationship with the U.S. is over. China is the main, critical market for the Kingdom now….The Crown Prince has said that he wants Saudi Arabia’s Sovereign Wealth Fund to be the biggest in the world, and it is probably on the way to being that. He sees Saudi Arabia becoming very influential in the world’s economy, not only as an oil producer, but as a financial player.”
“The likelihood that there will be new Iranian oil coming onto the market is increasingly unlikely“
Posted in energy policy, Gulf of Mexico, Offshore Energy - General, tagged DOE, DOI, petroleum reserve, SPR on June 9, 2022| Leave a Comment »
SPR stocks are down 29% from the end of 2010 and 19% from the end of 2020. Continued declines of this magnitude would be a major concern. Should a major crisis arise, offshore production takes years to ramp up, especially given that the lease inventory is at historic low levels and exploration has thus been stymied. Shale producers can respond more quickly to market needs, but transportation bottlenecks, and staffing and equipment availability can limit near-term production growth.

As was noted here in April, the inconsistency of drawing heavily on the SPR while constraining leasing in the adjacent offshore waters is striking. Apparently, there is nothing to worry about because neither the Department of the Interior nor the Department of Energy home pages even mention the words oil or gas. This is pretty remarkable given their broad responsibilities for these vital resources, and the crippling effects of shortages and high prices.

Posted in energy policy, Gulf of Mexico, Offshore Energy - General, tagged leasing, offshore energy, oil production, supply chain on June 7, 2022| Leave a Comment »
active leases ➡ producible leases ➡ energy production
The future of US offshore energy production is in jeopardy. As is clear in the first chart below, the problem is the precipitous decline in opportunities (l.e. leases), not the will to produce. At 27.3% (6/2022 data), the % of active leases that are producing is near the historic high of 30%. The spin doctors really need to drop the old and tired nonproducing leases excuse.
While not nearly as high as it could be with better lease management, offshore production has held up relatively well thanks to deepwater discoveries that were made years ago and technical innovation that makes projects more cost-effective, safer, and cleaner. Gulf of Mexico production should be relatively stable for several years as production from these projects offsets declines elsewhere. However, in the intermediate and longer term, reserve depletion and the absence of new exploration opportunities ensure a downward production trend.


Posted in energy policy, Gulf of Mexico, Offshore Energy - General, rigs-to-reefs, tagged aquaculture, Gulf of Mexico, NAOA, Rigs-to-Range, Rigs-to-Redfish/Rockfish, rigs-to-roe on June 3, 2022| Leave a Comment »

As is the case every 5 years or so, there is another aquaculture push within the Federal government. It looks like this will be a very process-rich endeavor (check out the list of “Scoping Information Needs“), so don’t expect much soon.
NOAA Fisheries is conducting public scoping for a programmatic environmental impact statement to consider identifying one or more AOAs in federal waters of the Gulf of Mexico. The programmatic environmental impact statement will evaluate the impacts and benefits associated with siting aquaculture in those locations, which could occur through future proposals and project level review. Public scoping is an opportunity for the public to provide input on the range of issues to be addressed in the programmatic environmental impact statement. This is a planning effort and no specific aquaculture-related activities or individual aquaculture projects are being proposed at this time.
NOAA FIsheries