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Archive for September, 2024

The previously discussed sale of Cox assets in 6 GoM fields to W&T was completed in January for $72 million, $16.5 million less than the proposed price. W&T, an established GoM operator, believes they can increase the pre-bankruptcy production (8300 boepd) through workovers, recompletions, and facility repairs.

The extent to which W&T is assuming decommissioning liability for the Cox assets is unclear to this observer. Decommissioning information from W&T’s SEC filing is pasted at the end of this post.

In February, Cox won court approval to sell “about a dozen oil fields to Natural Resources Worldwide LLC for about $20 million following a bankruptcy court auction.” This sale is more concerning given that the purchaser has no operating history in the GoM, and scant information about the company can be found online. Perhaps they are affiliated with Natural Resources Partners L.P., an energy investment firm which “owns mineral interests and other rights that are leased to companies engaged in the extraction of minerals,” but “does not mine, drill, or produce minerals, has no operations, and conducts business solely in an office environment.”

Per BOEM data, Cox filed requests to assign a number of leases to Natural Resources Worldwide (NRW) in May, but those requests have yet to be approved. Hopefully, BOEM is taking a hard look at these requests and their obligations following the court auction. Decommissioning liabilities should be their number one concern. (Note: NRW was just listed as the operator of the former Cox platform at EI 361, so presumably at least some of those assignments have now been approved.)

According to BOEM’s platform data base, Cox and affiliates Energy XXI and EPL still operate 243 platforms, down from 435 in June 2023. Also per the data base, the Cox companies have not removed any platforms during 2023 or 2024 YTD, so the reduction in platforms is presumably the result of the W&T transaction. Most of the remaining Cox platforms are old – 16 of their 77 major platforms were installed in the 1950s!

Meanwhile, Cox and affiliates continue to be the GoM violations leader by far with 549 incidents of non-compliance (INCs) in 2024 YTD, 45% of the GoM total for all operators. No other company has more than 100 INCs (although Whitney Oil and Gas has a disappointing 93 INCs, including 33 facility shut-ins on only 65 inspections!)

operatorplatforms/
major platforms
warning INCscomponent shut-in INCsfacility shut-in INCs
Cox209/69407444
Energy XXI19/77312
EPL5/11611
Total Cox233/77496467
Total GoM1519/73683131768
INCs are for 2024 as of 9/17/2024. A major platform has at least 6 well completions or more than 2 pieces of production equipment.

From W&T’s quarterly SEC filing:

Contingent Decommissioning Obligations

The Company may be subject to retained liabilities with respect to certain divested property interests by operation of law. Certain counterparties in past divestiture transactions or third parties in existing leases that have filed for bankruptcy protection or undergone associated reorganizations may not be able to perform required abandonment obligations. Due to operation of law, the Company may be required to assume decommissioning obligations for those interests. The Company may be held jointly and severally liable for the decommissioning of various facilities and related wells. The Company no longer owns these assets, nor are they related to current operations.

During the three months ended March 31, 2024, the Company incurred $2.6 million in costs related to these decommissioning obligations and reassessed the existing decommissioning obligations, recording an additional $5.3 million. As of March 31, 2024, the remaining loss contingency recorded related to the anticipated decommissioning obligations was $20.8 million.

Although it is reasonably possible that the Company could receive state or federal decommissioning orders in the future or be notified of defaulting third parties in existing leases, the Company cannot predict with certainty, if, how or when such orders or notices will be resolved or estimate a possible loss or range of loss that may result from such orders. However, the Company could incur judgments, enter into settlements or revise the Company’s opinion regarding the outcome of certain notices or matters, and such developments could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s results of operations in the period in which the amounts are accrued and the Company’s cash flows in the period in which the amounts are paid. To the extent that the Company does incur costs associated with these properties in future periods, the Company intends to seek contribution from other parties that owned an interest in the facilities.

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5.62% of the oil and 9.68% of the gas remain shut-in.

BSEE data as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date. Peak figures highlighted. The 9/17 report was BSEE’s final update.

date9/109/119/129/139/149/159/169/17
oil s.i.(BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
732,316
41.85
522,233
29.84
338,690
19.35
213,204
12.18
101,778
5.62
gas s.i.(MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.7
53.32
973.2
52.3
755
40.6
514.8
27.64
298
16.02
180
9.68
platform evacs
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
144
31.81
52
14
37
10
24
6.47
16
4.31
rig evacs
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
2
40
0
0
0
0
00
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10
2
10
2
10
2
10
00

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Federally funded decommissioning in the Matagorda Island area of the Gulf of Mexico. Not a success story.

I’m not typically aligned with the sponsors of the attached “Plug Offshore Wells Act,” but the call for transparency is understandable given that taxpayer funds are, for the first time, being used to decommission offshore platforms in the Matagorda Island area of the Gulf of Mexico, massive liabilities associated with the Cox bankruptcy loom, and the Hogan and Houchin saga drags on without resolution.

The bill would require an annual report on well, platform, and pipeline decommissioning including applications, deadlines, and enforcement actions. BSEE does have a good facility infrastructure page for the GoM, but much of the information called for in H.R. 9168 is not publicly available.

Improved oversight of decommissioning requirements for offshore wind projects should also be considered in light of the precedent setting waiver granted to Vineyard Wind and BOEM’s “modernization rule” that relaxes financial assurance requirements for wind development.

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BSEE data as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date. Peak figures highlighted.

date9/109/119/129/139/149/159/16
oil s.i.(BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
732,316
41.85
522,233
29.84
338,690
19.35
213,204
12.18
gas s.i.(MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.7
53.32
973.2
52.3
755
40.6
514.8
27.64
298
16.02
platform evacs
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
144
31.81
52
14
37
10
24
6.47
rig evacs
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
2
40
0
0
0
0
0
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10
2
10
2
10
2
10
0

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We have been closely watching Exxon’s high potential Persephone well in Newfounland’s Orphan Basin. Unfortunately, Exxon has announced that the well failed to discover commercial hydrocarbons.

While exploration technology has improved significantly, the success rate for wildcat exploratory wells is still only about 30%. According to Rystad, only eight of the 27 high-impact wells drilled in 2023 resulted in commercial discoveries.

In baseball terms, the smaller independents are typically singles hitters, drilling development wells and gleaning reserves from established fields. The majors tend to be home run hitters. They swing hard and often miss, but when they hit, the rewards are great!

The search for deepwater elephants will continue.

JPT

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BSEE data as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date.

date9/109/119/129/139/149/15
oil s.i.(BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
732,316
41.85
522,233
29.84
338,690
19.35
gas s.i.(MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.68
53.32
973.2
52.3
755
40.6
514.8
27.64
platform evacs
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
144
31.81
52
14
37
10
rig evacs
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
2
40
0
0
0
0
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10
2
10
2
10
2
10

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BSEE data as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date.

date9/109/119/129/139/14
oil shut-in (BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
732,316
41.85
522,233
29.84
gas s.i. (MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.68
53.32
973.2
52.3
755
40.6
platforms evacuated
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
144
31.81
52
14%
rigs evacuated
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
2
40
0
0
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10
2
10
2
10

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… when you seek to restrict speech because you don’t like the speaker or disagree with the message.

A Toronto politician wants to ban “misleading fossil fuel ads” on public transit. The pictured ad presents a straightforward message that is reasonable for an organization like Canada Action to convey. Opposing views are well represented in government and the media.

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BSEE data as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date.

date9/109/119/129/13
oil shut-in (BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
732,316
41.85
gas s.i. (MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.68
53.32
973.2
52.3
platforms evac.
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
144
31.81
rigs evacuated
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
2
40
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10
2
10

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As previously posted, Santa Barbara County reached an agreement with current SYU operator Sable Offshore that will allow the installation of pipeline shutdown valves. Given that the valves are required by the State Fire Marshall, the County was not likely to win this dispute. The County wisely decided that the financial risks were too high:

If we continued to fight this out in court, [Sable] likely would have sought to recover lost revenue from the pipeline not being in operation,” said Supervisor Steve Lavagnino. “That could amount to millions of dollars the County would be on the hook for.”

The Environmental Defense Center and others are calling for the County to retract their agreement with Sable and hold a public hearing on the matter. That appears to be unlikely.

Remaining hurdles for Sable include approval by the State Fire Marshall after the valves are installed and operational, State Lands Commission approval of lease assignments from Exxon to Sable, and approval of the oil spill contingency plan by the State Dept. of Fish and Wildlife.

Sable believes they can resume production this year. That seems unlikely, but a 2025 restart is now a distinct possibility.

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