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Posts Tagged ‘OCS production’

Attached is the final version of AB 1448, which is among the stack of bills awaiting Gov. Newsome’s signature. John Smith has highlighted provisions of concern.

If enacted and upheld in the courts, the bill would serve as a blockade on new Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) production. The bill would:

  • prohibit pipelines and other infrastructure located within state waters from being used to support Pacific Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) leases issued after January 1, 2026.
  • prohibit the State Lands Commission from entering into any lease authorizing new construction of oil- and gas-related infrastructure within state waters for the purpose of supporting Pacific OCS leases issued after January 1, 2026.
  • prohibit any existing leases and oil- and gas-related infrastructure located within state waters from being used to support Pacific OCS leases issued after January 1, 2026.
  • require a separate process for the approval of any lease extension that would increase the volume of oil and gas transported across state waters “including by commencing, increasing, intensifying, or restarting production” from the OCS. This would presumably include pipelines transporting Santa Ynez Unit production and production increases at other OCS facilities.

It’s hard to believe these provisions would survive legal challenges given their constraint on interstate commerce and Federal OCS activities.

On a related note, California royalty owners are actively challenging Santa Barbara County and Los Angeles proposals that would prohibit new oil and gas wells and ultimately phase out all existing production. AB 1448 would have a similar effect on OCS royalty owners – namely the citizens of the United States.

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Six months after the year ended, the Office of Natural Resources Revenue (ONRR) has completed their precise, to the barrel, production accounting. BOEM was correct2025 was a record OCS oil production year by a considerable amount. Total OCS production, nearly 714 million bbls, exceeded the 2019 record by 14 million bbls. EIA data still favor 2019 by a slight margin.

The 16+ million barrel difference between the 2025 ONRR and EIA OCS production totals is much larger than any such differential in recent years and warrants an explanation. Below are the 2025 OCS totals (first table) and the 2019 to 2025 Gulf totals (2nd table). As indicated in the second table, all other differentials between ONRR and EIA were <2 million bbls, and only the 2024 differential was >1 million bbls.

2025 OCS total – ONRR2025 OCS total – EIA2025 Gulf only – ONRR2025 Gulf only – EIA
713,673,419697,020,000708,803,859692,634,000
Table 1

Gulf oil production (bbls)ONRREIA
2019692,681,301692,831,000
2020609,704,101610,064,000
2021623,586,734623,167,000
2022632,639,739631,900,000
2023680,868,936680,400,000
2024656,217,605654,223,000
2025708,803,859692,634,000
Table 2

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