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Archive for the ‘Gulf of Mexico’ Category

The January 2022 post about a 5 year leasing plan with no lease sales would have been reality were it not for the congressional mandate in Section 50265(b)(2) of the IRA. That provision requires BOEM to offer at least 60 million OCS acres for oil and gas leasing within the 12 months prior to issuing an offshore wind lease. While I initially thought that requirement was petty, it is now apparent that without it we would have had a leasing plan with no lease sales.

The current leasing policy as articulated in both the draft and final proposed program is to phase out oil and gas production:

The long-term nature of OCS oil and gas development, such that production on a lease may not begin for a decade or more after lease issuance and can continue for decades, makes consideration of
net-zero pathways relevant to the Secretary’s determinations on how the National OCS Program best meets the Nation’s energy needs.

p. 6, Five Year Leasing Plan

Basing leasing decisions on highly uncertain “net-zero pathways” would seem to be a considerable stretch of the Secretary’s authority under the OCS Lands Act. A strategic shutdown of the offshore oil and gas program, which would dramatically increase energy supply and security risks going forward, should be authorized by Congress. Even the threat of such a shutdown could have major economic implications.

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This is presumably due to the new production at Vito and Argos. Will we see 2 million bopd again? Perhaps later this year or next, but production increases are unlikely beyond that given the current state of the offshore leasing program. You can’t efficiently develop and supplement new discoveries without consistent, predictable leasing.

Shell Vito under tow to the Mississippi Canyon area of the Gulf of Mexico.

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The Proposed Final Program includes a maximum of three potential oil and gas lease sales – the fewest oil and gas lease sales in history – in the Gulf of Mexico Program Area scheduled in 2025, 2027 and 2029. 

DOI News Release

Tearing down what a lot of dedicated folks worked hard to build. 😢

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The plan looks good. It appears to be consistent with previous contingency plans. Offshore operations should not be impacted.

During the shutdown BSEE will continue critical permitting, oversight, preparedness verification, and related activities that are necessary to protect workers and the environment from operations associated with conventional and renewable energy development on the Outer Continental Shelf. Approximately 40% of the 851 BSEE employees will be retained to accomplish these activities and will be designated as exempt, as their salaries will be funded from non-lapsing prior year carryover. Should an extended shutdown occur, exhausting current funding sources, all the exempt personnel would be designated as excepted as they are essential for life and safety.”

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Federal funding lapses, real or threatened, are rather common. They range from false alarms to the extended shutdown of 35 days that occurred in 2018-19. In no case have offshore oil and gas operations been significantly affected. BSEE and its predecessors developed and implemented contingency plans that identified “essential employees” needed to monitor operations and review necessary permits.

Most Federal agencies have posted updated Federal contingency plans on the OMB page established for the purpose. Noticeably absent is the plan for the Department of the Interior (DOI), which includes the bureaus responsible for overseeing energy operations on Federal onshore and offshore lands. Presumably this is just a bureaucratic delay, and DOI has plans for the safe continuation of operations. However, the Petroleum Association of Wyoming was sufficiently concerned that they wrote a letter to Secretary Haaland and the Director of the Bureau of Land Management, which is responsible for oil and gas operations on Federal onshore lands. That letter is attached below.

Hopefully, DOI will provide clarity on these matters today, since a Federal government shutdown could begin at midnight tomorrow. Needless to say, any disruption in ongoing oil and gas production operations would have significant safety and economic implications.

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Followup to our previous post on this matter:

  • How does a Coast Guard station casually post an endangered species observation on Facebook before confirming the accuracy of the sighting?
  • Even if the species identity had been confirmed, is a Facebook post an appropriate means of making such announcements?
  • Shouldn’t the observation have been reported to NOAA for any further action?
  • Was the Coast Guard station aware of Lease Sale 261 and the related Rice’s whale litigation?
  • Did the Coast Guard station understand the potential economic implications of the alleged sighting, not just for offshore oil and gas but for all commercial activities in the GoM?
  • Why did so many media outlets run with the Facebook post without confirmation from the Coast Guard or NOAA?
  • Why has only one organization, the Miami Herald, published the corrected information?
  • Why has there been no public statement from the Coast Guard?

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Over the weekend, the Coast Guard station in Venice, LA rather recklessly announced the following on Facebook: “CRITICALLY ENDANGERED SPECIES SIGHTING: Station Venice presents to you……. Rice’s Whale.” The Facebook comment captioned a 16-second video of the whales swimming nearby, reportedly in the Mississippi Canyon area of the Gulf of Mexico. The video was removed on Tuesday. CBS reported on the Facebook post but was unable to obtain confirmation from the Coast Guard.

Given the timing and significance of the Coast Guard announcement relative to Lease Sale 261, this was a massive report. However, we now learn that the whales were incorrectly identified. Both the Coast Guard and NOAA are confirming that the whales were misidentified as Rice’s whales and were actually sperm whales.

CLARIFICATION: This story has been updated to reflect that Coast Guard officials identified the whales spotted in the Gulf of Mexico as sperm whales after previously identifying them as critically endangered Rice’s whales. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration also told McClatchy News in a statement that they are sperm whales.

Miami Herald

Wow!

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Pictured: Transocean’s Deepwater Proteus. T/O should name one of their drillships Deepwater Diligence 😉

Seven of the deepwater exploratory wells drilled in the Gulf of Mexico in 2023 (YTD) were spudded within 4.5 years of the effective date of their leases. Three of these wells were spudded within 3 years of their lease effective dates (see table below).

These are impressive achievements when you consider the time required for consultation with partners (if any) and contractors, site surveys, exploration plan development and approval, well planning, and drilling permit preparation and approval.

The subject wells accounted for 28% of the deepwater exploratory well starts in 2023 (25 net YTD wells after subtracting restarts at the same location).

date lease
effective
spud dateelapsed time
(months)
water
depth (ft)
operator
3/1/20218/27/2023306498Shell
8/1/20205/21/2023342211Talos
8/1/20203/15/2023313338Talos
12/1/20196/5/2023424228Chevron
11/1/20196/1/2023434603Hess
7/1/20197/11/2023487486Kosmos
12/1/20186/6/2023544127bp

Below are the exploration plan (EP) and permit (APD) approval timeframes for these 7 wells. With the exception of the Kosmos EP which required a number of modifications, the regulator actions appear to have been timely. For the bp, Shell, and Chevron wells, only 4-6 months elapsed between EP submittal and APD approval.

operatorblockdate EP
received
date EP
approved
APD
received
APD
approved
ShellWR 3653/1/20235/17/20235/11/20238/8/2023
TalosGC 781/19/20214/16/20213/8/20235/26/2023
TalosMC 1624/1/20227/13/20228/2/20223/2/2023
ChevronMC 93712/7/20225/19/20234/21/20235/21/2023
HessMC 7278/30/202211/3/202212/21/20224/24/2023
KosmosKC 9641/3/202010/12/20224/18/20237/3/2023
bpGC 4361/18/20234/14/20233/29/20236/5/2023
Notes: EP=Exploration Plan, APD=Application for Permit to Drill, WR=Walker Ridge, GC=Green Canyon, MC=Mississippi Canyon, KC=Keathley Canyon

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Of note (emphasis added):

IT IS ORDERED that appellants’ opposed motion for partial stay pending appeal is GRANTED in part. The preliminary injunction that was entered by the Memorandum Order of September 21, 2023, is hereby AMENDED only in that the sale that was set for September 27, 2023, is ORDERED to take place by November 8, 2023. No extension will be granted. That is to say: Insofar as the preliminary injunction is concerned, the final paragraph of the Memorandum Order remains in effect, pending appeal of the preliminary injunction, with the exception that “September 30, 2023,” is changed to “November 8, 2023.”

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BOEM is allowed to delay the sale until Nov. 8, which is consistent with the Federal government’s request. 

All other aspects of the Preliminary Injunction remain in place, but the 5th Cir. still needs to hear and decide the government’s appeal of the PI. Monday’s decision was on the emergency motion and not the merits of the Preliminary Injunction. 

The sale intrigue is also on hold! 😉

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