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Decommissioning financial assurance issues are complex!

This blog has raised significant concerns about BOEM’s decommissioning financial assurance rule, and will continue to comment on decommissioning policy. That said, decommissioning issues are complex and have challenged industry and government in the US and internationally for decades. Add well plugging practices, corrosion, storm risks, reefing vs. total removal, alternative uses for old platforms, and pipeline and seafloor equipment abandonment to the myriad of financial issues and you get a sense of the breadth and complexity of decommissioning issues.

Decommissioning is unique in that the issues divide sectors of the offshore industry that are typically aligned (majors vs. smaller producers). The environmental community is also divided with the reefing and fishing advocates opposing those who insist on complete removal.

Given these divisions, and decommissioning’s operational, environmental, and political complexities, highly partisan assertions are common. A recent article about the financial assurance rule includes a number of such assertions, and provides a framework for discussing some of the more prominent issues. Excerpts from the article and my comments follow.

This costly rule became final on April 15, 2024, but in the 10 months since its initial proposal, BOEM did nothing to alleviate concerns for smaller companies that comprise of 76 percent of oil and gas operators in the Gulf.

Comments:

  • While I concur that shelf operations and the independent companies that conduct them are important, 94% of OCS oil production and 80% of the gas (2023 data) were from deepwater facilities (>1000′ WD) which are largely the domain of the majors (although the participation of independents in the deepwater sector is increasing).
  • In 2023, four majors – Shell, bp, Oxy (Anadarko) and Chevron – accounted for 2/3 of the Gulf’s total oil production.
  • 1467 of the remaining 1527 GoM platforms are in <1000 feet of water and are almost exclusively operated by small producers. So 96% of the platforms are producing only 6% of the oil and 20% of the gas.
  • This dichotomy presents a major challenge for BOEM which must protect the public from decommissioning liabilities without unfairly penalizing small producers.
  • Having worked for respected political appointees from both parties, my experience has been that the smaller producers (somewhat surprisingly) have more political influence than the majors. For this reason, along with the general lack of attention to financial assurance issues in the early years of the offshore program, the standard bond requirement was ridiculously low for much of the program’s history, and supplemental financial assurance assessments were typically inadequate (and still are which is why the new rule was promulgated).
  • Attention to decommissioning issues grew exponentially in the early 1990s. Prior to that time, platform removal, like well plugging, was classified as “abandonment,” a term that was considered too harsh when bankruptcy issues and the Brent Spar controversy in the North Sea attracted worldwide attention.

Records obtained via the Freedom of Information Act show private meetings between Interior officials and representatives of the major oil companies as they cooperated on this rule.

Comments:

  • The linked FOIA records are not at all problematic. They pertain to meetings prior to the publication of the draft rule, which are appropriate and desirable.
  • Some of these meetings were in response to BOEM’s request for input regarding their review of the OCS oil and gas program. Such meetings are particularly helpful when a new administration is trying to assess the direction of the program.
  • Indeed 42 of the 71 pages in the FOIA were official industry comments in response to the BOEM request.
  • Per the Regulations.gov docket on the financial assurance rule, BOEM also met with stakeholders after the proposed rule was published. Those meetings are allowed as long as the regulator simply receives input and does not signal decisions regarding the content of the final rule.
  • The docket shows that BOEM had 8 listening sessions with advocates for independent producers. These included 2 sessions with the Gulf Energy Alliance and 6 sessions with individual independent producers.
  • BOEM also had 2 listening sessions with Oceana, a prominent environmental organization, and multiple sessions with tribal organizations.
  • The only sessions with representatives from major producers were a single session with API and a single session with Shell, the Gulf’s largest producer.
  • These meetings (after the proposed rule was published) are noted in the docket as required.
  • I am concerned that many listening session documents (from all sides of the decommissioning financial assurance issue) were removed from the docket at the direction of OIRA/OMB, purportedly because they included privileged information. This is rather troubling given the number of deletions and the complete absence of information about those meetings. What types of privileged information were these organizations providing and why is there no information whatsoever on these meetings? At a minimum, a list of attendees and general summary for each meeting should have been posted, as was our practice in the past.

Big Oil must think it won’t miss the small competitors the rule will drive from the market.

Comments:

  • There is important synergy between the major producers and independents, and no reason for driving smaller companies from the market.
  • The independents are critical to sustaining the shelf infrastructure and the associated service companies, which helps to facilitate deepwater development. Majors also benefit from partnering with independents on lease acquisitions, development projects, and lease assignments.
  • Financial assurance for decommissioning of transferred assets is the one area of significant conflict, particularly when there have been multiple ownership changes since the facilities were initially transferred.

“Historically, joint and several liability protected these small businesses from the financial demands of surety bonds.”

Comments:

  • Surety bonds, or other forms of financial assurance, have always been required. As previously noted, the amounts were often inadequate.
  • Joint and several liability was not established in the regulations until May 22,1997. Whether companies are liable for facilities transferred prior to that date has yet to be considered in court.
  • 1130 of the 1527 remaining GoM platforms were installed prior to May 22,1997. Many of these platforms were no doubt transferred prior to that date, which means the liability of the initial owner is uncertain.
  • Predecessor liability does not apply to new wells and platforms constructed by the current lessees.
  • Joint and several liability was never intended to relieve current lessees from their financial assurance responsibility, which is why assignors were required to provide such assurance. BOEM is correct in strengthening their enforcement of this requirement.

“The new rule is largely silent on joint and several liability, causing some uncertainty.”

Comment: The joint and several liability provision remains in place at 30 CFR 250.1701(a) BOEM has added language to part 556.704, to clarify, correctly in my opinion, that they may withhold approval of any transfer or assignment of any lease interest if the financial assurance requirements have not been satisfied.

Companies may not be able to acquire the needed financial assurances because the market likely will not even exist.

Comment: The history of small producer failures is no doubt a concern to financial institutions. BOEM offers multiple financial assurance options, some of which have been questioned on this blog. If a company can’t qualify, it’s not the responsibility of the public to assume their decommissioning risks.

What makes matters worse is that all this cost covers a risk that is effectively a rounding error historically and in the context of the royalties flowing from the offshore oil and gas industry. According to BOEM, taxpayers have borne decommissioning liability totaling $58 million – from a single company that lacked predecessor owners of the platform to call on to cover unfunded cleanup costs.

Comments:

  • The $58 million “rounding error” is more like the tip of the iceberg. It’s also a dangerous precedent and major embarrassment for the OCS program.
  • Those who seek to minimize the Federal government’s risk exposure should consider the findings in the 2024 GAO report. Per that report, “BOEM held about $3.5 billion in supplemental bonds to cover between $40 billion and $70 billion in total estimated decommissioning costs as of June 2023.”
  • At the time of the recent Cox bankruptcy, BSEE estimated that decommissioning costs for the Cox platforms would exceed $4.5 billion. The extent to which prior owners can be held accountable for those costs is uncertain.
  • When will we find out who will be paying the hundreds of millions needed to decommission long-idled Platforms Hogan and Houchin in the Santa Barbara Channel?
  • Decommissioning financial assurance is a responsibility of lessees, not the taxpayer.

March production (1823 MBOPD) has been added to the GoM summary chart (below).

The Main Pass Oil Gathering (MPOG) system reportedly remained shut-in until early April. We should learn more about the impact of that shut-in when the EIA releases the April production figure at the end of June. Meanwhile, we are still waiting for information from the NTSB on the MPOG incident. To date, the NTSB has only posted a short summary

Note that BOEM’s 2024 forecast called for production to average 2,013 MBOPD, which is above the 2023 peak of 1,997 MBOPD in September.

Most forecasts call for an active 2024 hurricane season, so interruptions in production are likely. There were no production shut-ins from tropical storms in 2023.

  • Zero oil production
  • Zero gas production
  • Zero well starts in the past 8 years
  • Zero participation in recent lease sales

CP’s acquisition of Marathon is an endorsement of shale production, most of which is from private lands. Sadly, these historically important OCS operators no longer have an interest in the Federal offshore sector.

Given the potential for long-term, high-rate, and cost-effective production from deepwater wells, it may not be prudent for a US super-major to put all of the corporate eggs in the shale basket and ignore the OCS. However, contrary to the direction provided by the OCS Lands Act, Federal policies seem to encourage industry rejection.

The 5 year plan boasts about offering only 3 mandated lease sales, and punitive executive branch decisions are a continuous threat. Presidential withdrawals and other actions have eliminated 96.3% of the OCS from even being considered for leasing. Production from private onshore lands in supportive States like Texas and North Dakota is very attractive by comparison.

Trinidad and Tobago (T&T), which has had oil drilling operations since 1857, 2 years prior to the Drake well in Pennsylvania, closed another bidding round this week. In this Shallow Water Bidding Round, they received bids on 4 of the 13 blocks that were offered.

T&T clearly understands the importance of regular offerings in all areas of their offshore sector. Per the Energy Ministry:

These bid rounds are aimed at ensuring sustainable exploration and production and maximizing our country’s hydrocarbon resources. Following the successes of the 2021 Deep Water Competitive Bidding Round and the 2022 Onshore/Near Shore Competitive Bidding Round, this Shallow Water Competitive Bidding Round was the third in a series of bid rounds conducted by the Ministry of Energy and Energy Industries.” 

Regular sales are even more important in the US given the small lease blocks and thus the need to have access to nearby resources for sustained production and efficient utilization of facilities.

Below are the blocks receiving bids in the T&T sale, and the size of those blocks. US lease blocks are approximately 23 sq km.

BlockBidderBlock Size (sq km)
Lower Reverse LEOG and BG363.64
Modified U(c)bp and EOG767.75
NCMA 2bp1028.44
NCMA 4(a)EOG1338.47
Hebron gravity based structure

While checking for updates on the important Orphan Basin well, I looked at Newfoundland production data and found it surprisingly encouraging:

  • The pioneering Hibernia field has produced more than double the original resource estimate of 520 million barrels, and is still chugging along at about 60,000 bopd.
  • Hebron, the current top producer, is holding strong at 100,000+ bopd.
  • White Rose, which was in danger of being abandoned, is poised for a renaissance with the installation of the West White Rose concrete gravity structure.
  • Terra Nova is once again producing at near 2019 levels after a four year hiatus. The Terra Nova story has many important technical, management, regulatory, safety, and logistical elements, and presents good case study opportunities for Newfoundland academics (Memorial University?).

With prospects for production at Bay du Nord brightening and interesting targets like the Orphan basin being explored, pessimistic forecasts for Newfoundland’s resilient offshore sector may be a bit premature.

Sec. 12(a) of OCSLA (43 U.S. Code § 1341(a)): “The President of the United States may, from time to time, withdraw from disposition any of the unleased lands of the outer Continental Shelf.”

The language “from time to time” implies that withdrawing OCS lands from oil and gas leasing consideration is a casual exercise at the whim of the President for any particular reason. That is indeed how the provision has been implemented.

Alaska Presidential withdrawals are shaded (BOEM map)
Atlantic and GoM withdrawals are shaded (BOEM map)

Over the last 8 years, Presidents Obama, Trump, and Biden have unilaterally exercised this authority without prior notice or opportunity for public comment. Their actions were timed to extend oil and gas leasing prohibitions well beyond their term in office (perhaps permanently), seek an edge in an upcoming election, or sacrifice OCS leasing in an attempt to placate opponents of another executive decision. More specifically:

In light of the rather cynical abuses of this authority and their potential economic and national security implications, Congress should consider repealing Sec. 12(a) of OCSLA or revising the language to limit the timing, scope, and duration of such withdrawals, and establish a process that prevents the withdraw of lands without fully considering the potential implications.

Thinking of those who gave their lives to protect our freedoms, including workers who died providing the energy needed to power our economy.

… and indeed it is!

In Rigs-to-Reefs parlance, we’d caption that Rigs-to-Roosts, Retreats, Romance, Resorts, Reconnaissance, or Rapture 😀

Have a good weekend!

Per rig tracker data, the Stena DrillMAX has been on location at Exxon’s Orphan Basin wellsite since Sunday (19 May). The site is 317 miles (510 km) NE of St. John’s in Block 1169 (~3000 m water depth).

Per this very good resource assessment report for the Govt. of Newfoundland and Labrador, “the Orphan Basin area demonstrates a potentially prolific petroleum system with four main plays (reservoirs and associated seals) sourced by various source rocks (Upper Jurassic, Cretaceous, and Paleogene).

Unrisked resource estimates (theoretical pending confirmation by drilling) at the 90, 50, and 10% probability levels for the Orphan Basin blocks offered for licensing in Nov. 2022:

Taking into account the risks of the geologic model not accurately reflecting the reservoir, seal, charging, and trap components of the petroleum system, the probability of finding 13.5 billion drops to 16% (see plot below). This is still a high probability for a massive wildcat discovery.

This is why you move a state-of-the-art drillship thousands of miles to drill a single exploratory well at a remote location in the North Atlantic. The most likely outcome is negative or inconclusive findings, but the potential for such a major discovery justifies the investment.

The PGOS curve quantifies the probability of success in finding the identified volume of resources in the new Orphan Basin blocks (e.g. there is a 34% chance of finding 4.7 billion BOE and a 16% chance of finding 13.5 billion BOE).

Illustration credit: Kellen Riell / The New Bedford Light
Glauconite has been identified within the boundaries of lease areas marked with green. Credit: Kellen Riell / The New Bedford Light

Anastasia Lennon has published several informative articles in the New Bedford Light on the challenges posed by the presence of glauconite on North Atlantic wind leases. The above illustrations explain those challenges and identify where glauconite has been found to date. Per her latest article:

Preliminary geotechnical analysis for New England Wind, an Avangrid project, showed a risk of turbine pile foundation refusal in 50 of nearly 130 turbine locations, or about 40%, according to 2023 records obtained through a Freedom of Information Act request. 

The mineral’s behavior poses a “significant risk” to offshore wind development, said BOEM, the federal regulator of offshore wind, in a paper last year. 

The potential for foundation problems associated with glauconite and other geotechnical factors are among the reasons why decommissioning financial assurance should be demonstrated in full when turbines and other facilities are installed, not years later.