Per Baker Hughes, the latest (2/20/2026) Gulf of America rig count (2/20/2026) slipped to 9. The count was 10 the previous week and 12 a year ago. In 2023 and 2024, the BH rig count was a more healthy 15-20.
8 of the 9 rigs currently drilling are at high potential deepwater locations: 3 in the Mississippi Canyon Area, 3 in Green Canyon, 1 in Walker Ridge, and 1 in Alaminos Canyon. One rig was drilling on the shelf in the Eugene Island Area.
Per MMS data, the active Gulf rig count in 2001 was 148. The 2001 count was not a one year blip; the number of rigs active in the Gulf exceeded 100 for the ten year period from 1994-2003.
Although drilling and production have become more efficient with improved exploration technology, modern well completion practices, high pressure/temperature equipment, and enhanced recovery programs, drilling activity must still be sufficient to replace reserves and sustain production over the longer term.
2025 may have been a record production year for the Gulf; we’ll find out at the end of this week. However, that level of production is not sustainable without increased drilling activity.
The EIA (chart below) is forecasting another banner year for Gulf oil production in 2026. However, they are pointing to a decline in 2027, when new production is not anticipated to be sufficient to offset natural declines. The decline in production is likely to continue beyond 2027 absent increased drilling.
BH rig count criteria: To be counted as active a rig must be on location and be drilling or ‘turning to the right’ for 4 out of 7 days during a week. A rig is considered active from the moment the well is ‘spudded’ until it reaches target depth or “TD”. Rigs that are in transit, rigging up, or being used in non-drilling activities such as workovers, completions, or production testing, are NOT counted as active.
Bud's Offshore Energy (BOE) 