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BSEE data as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date.

date9/109/119/129/139/149/15
oil s.i.(BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
732,316
41.85
522,233
29.84
338,690
19.35
gas s.i.(MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.68
53.32
973.2
52.3
755
40.6
514.8
27.64
platform evacs
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
144
31.81
52
14
37
10
rig evacs
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
2
40
0
0
0
0
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10
2
10
2
10
2
10

BSEE data as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date.

date9/109/119/129/139/14
oil shut-in (BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
732,316
41.85
522,233
29.84
gas s.i. (MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.68
53.32
973.2
52.3
755
40.6
platforms evacuated
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
144
31.81
52
14%
rigs evacuated
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
2
40
0
0
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10
2
10
2
10

Slippery slope …

… when you seek to restrict speech because you don’t like the speaker or disagree with the message.

A Toronto politician wants to ban “misleading fossil fuel ads” on public transit. The pictured ad presents a straightforward message that is reasonable for an organization like Canada Action to convey. Opposing views are well represented in government and the media.

BSEE data as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date.

date9/109/119/129/13
oil shut-in (BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
732,316
41.85
gas s.i. (MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.68
53.32
973.2
52.3
platforms evac.
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
144
31.81
rigs evacuated
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
2
40
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10
2
10

As previously posted, Santa Barbara County reached an agreement with current SYU operator Sable Offshore that will allow the installation of pipeline shutdown valves. Given that the valves are required by the State Fire Marshall, the County was not likely to win this dispute. The County wisely decided that the financial risks were too high:

If we continued to fight this out in court, [Sable] likely would have sought to recover lost revenue from the pipeline not being in operation,” said Supervisor Steve Lavagnino. “That could amount to millions of dollars the County would be on the hook for.”

The Environmental Defense Center and others are calling for the County to retract their agreement with Sable and hold a public hearing on the matter. That appears to be unlikely.

Remaining hurdles for Sable include approval by the State Fire Marshall after the valves are installed and operational, State Lands Commission approval of lease assignments from Exxon to Sable, and approval of the oil spill contingency plan by the State Dept. of Fish and Wildlife.

Sable believes they can resume production this year. That seems unlikely, but a 2025 restart is now a distinct possibility.

BSEE data for the past 3 days are tabulated below. Data are as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date. Barring offshore or downstream infrastructure damage, production should begin to resume over the next few days.

Prior to the shale boom, when our national production was lower and the OCS accounted for a larger share, these numbers would have had a more significant effect on oil and gas prices. That is not the case today with only a 2.4% rise in WTI prices.

date9/109/119/12
oil shut-in (BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
gas s.i. (MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.68
53.32
platforms evac.
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
rigs evacuated
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10

A media report informs that, as expected, Orsted is marketing the suspended Ocean Wind 1 and 2 leases. BOEM should deny any request to assign these leases. Here’s why:

  • As discussed in a previous post, those leases should have been terminated when Orsted announced that they would “cease development of the Ocean Wind 1 and Ocean Wind 2 projects.”
  • Absent termination, these inactive leases would have expired were it not for BOEM’s approval of a 2 year suspension of operations.
  • For the first time in the history of the US OCS program, the lease suspensions were approved without any work commitment on the part of the operator.
  • Per the approval letter (attached), the suspensions were granted so Orsted could get “full enjoyment” of the leases by waiting for economic conditions to improve.
  • The approval relieves Orsted from complying with any deadlines in their approved Construction and Operations Plan.
  • Under the approved suspensions, Orsted’s only obligations are to reply to requests for information and participate in meetings or consultations as requested. Note that for suspensions of operations on oil and gas leases, the operator must provide “a reasonable schedule of work leading to the commencement or restoration of the suspended activity.”
  • Subsequent to BOEM’s approval of the lease suspensions, the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities correctly vacated all of its Orders that approved the Ocean Wind One and Ocean Wind Two offshore wind projects.

Suspensions of Operations are for the purpose of providing additional time, where necessary, for diligent operators to meet development milestones and initiate energy production. They are not for the purpose of waiting for improved economic conditions or providing time to sell your leases.

Any request by Orsted to assign these leases should be denied. If BOEM wants to reissue the leases, they may do so at a future sale in accordance with their regulations at 30 CFR Part 285.

As of 12:30 pm ET on 9/11/2024, nearly 40% of the oil and half of the gas production was shut-in.

Total Shut-in (Percentage of GOM Production)
Oil, BOPD Shut-in674,833 BOPD38.56 %
Gas, MMCFD Shut-in907 MMCFD48.77 %

Evacuations and rig movementstotal% of GOM
Platforms Evacuated17146%
Rigs Evacuated (non DP)360%
DP Rigs Moved-off420%

Per BSEE

Total Shut-in (Percentage of GOM Production)
Oil, BOPD Shut-in412,070 BOPD23.55%
Gas, MMCFD Shut-in494 MMCFD25.56%

Evacuations and rig movementstotal% of GOM
Platforms Evacuated13035%
Rigs Evacuated (non DP)240%
DP Rigs Moved-off315%
DP= dynamically positioned
Rendering of Ocean City MD morning view per US Wind project plan submitted to BOEM
Ocean City NJ offshore wind protest

To those of us from Philly, Ocean City is in New Jersey. To those living in the DMV, Ocean City is in Maryland. These popular beach resorts have distinct personalities, but both are heavily dependent on tourism. They are also aligned against offshore wind development.

OCNJ and surrounding Cape May County have been called the epicenter of resistance to offshore wind. They sued the Federal government over the approval of the Construction and Operations Plan and issuance of the Incidental Harassment Authorization for the Ocean Wind 1 project. Orsted has since elected not to pursue that project, but somehow the leases have remained in effect.

On Aug. 5, Ocean City MD Mayor Rick Meehan said the town has hired a law firm, and will join several local co-plaintiffs in suing BOEM if it issues a federal permit to US Wind to construct the US Wind project offshore Maryland. Exactly one month later (9/5/2024), BOEM approved the project. (The 2 US Wind leases have been consolidated, and the project is now known as the Maryland Offshore Wind project).

Halting Atlantic wind projects has been a difficult proposition for local governments, tribes, and grass roots environmental groups given that the wind industry, State and Federal govt, and the large environmental NGOs have been firmly aligned against them. Indeed, the Federal govt considers wind developers to be their partners.

Disputes between State and local governments regarding offshore wind policy are becoming increasingly strident. Such disconnects are not common for offshore oil and gas given that State and local govts are typically aligned either for or against.

The growing level of discord is neither in the best interest of wind developers nor their opponents. Unfortunately, election year politics probably stand in the way of a pause in wind leasing that would facilitate open and unpressured collaboration with coastal residents, power customers, tribes, and fishing organizations on the best path forward.