
24 million bbls have been added since the reserve was drained to the historic low of 347 million bbls last July. At this rate and assuming no further sales, the SPR will be refilled in a scant 15 years!

Posted in energy policy, tagged slow refill, Strategic Petroleum Reserve on June 14, 2024| Leave a Comment »
Posted in energy policy, tagged DOE, SPR deficit, SPR refill, Strategic Petroleum Reserve on April 3, 2024| Leave a Comment »
After announcing that the planned 40 million barrel SPR refill would be the equivalent of the massive 180 million barrel withdrawal, DOE has halted the refill at < half the planned amount. There is no end in sight for the SPR deficit (chart below).
Citing rising oil prices, the DOE said, “We will not award the current solicitations for the Bayou Choctaw SPR site and will solicit available capacity as market conditions allow.” Three million barrels of oil had been slated for delivery to the Bayou Choctaw SPR site in August and September.
Forbes

Posted in energy policy, tagged Cathy Rodgers, GAO review, House Energy and Commerce, SPR depletion, SPR refill, Strategic Petroleum Reserve on March 8, 2024| Leave a Comment »

Last May, Cathy Rodgers, Chair of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, requested that the General Accountability Office (GAO) address the following questions (letter attached):
The GAO has not yet published their report.
Posted in energy policy, tagged SPR refill, Strategic Petroleum Reserve on January 25, 2024| Leave a Comment »
Posted in energy policy, tagged DOE, SPR refill, Strategic Petroleum Reserve on December 6, 2023| Leave a Comment »
Huh? Since 9/1/2023, the SPR has increased from 350.34 million bbls to 351.9 million bbs, a total of only 1.56 million bbls. From the historic low of 346.76 bbls on 7/7/2023, the SPR has increased by just 5.14 million bbls, and remains at only 48% full. The total refill since the 2023 low amounts to only 0.7% of capacity.
DOE knew that refilling the SPR would be a very slow process given the significant acquisition, operational, and maintenance challenges. Nonetheless, political concerns about oil prices were prioritized and the reserve was recklessly depleted.
Prediction: The SPR will still be <400 million bbls at the end of 2024.

Posted in energy policy, tagged 5 year leasing plan, Iran, offshore production, OPEC, sanctions, SPR depletion, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, venezuela on October 17, 2023| Leave a Comment »
Consistent with analysts suggestions that the US is reluctant to tighten sanctions on Iran because of concerns about oil markets, note that Iranian crude oil production began ramping up in early 2023 (see chart below) shortly after the massive Strategic Petroleum Reserve withdrawals had ceased. The increase in Iranian production in 2023 of ~500,000 bopd is comparable to the SPR withdrawal rate for 2022 (averaged 608,000 bopd).
Given that further depletion of the SPR was no longer politically acceptable, a cynic might suggest that oil market considerations associated with the end of SPR withdrawals and OPEC tightening (Iran is currently exempt from OPEC quotas) factored into decisions regarding the relaxation of sanctions on Iran.

The US is also prepared to ease sanctions on Venezuelan oil production. Why is production from Iran and Venezuela preferable to US offshore production? Why is the US sanctioning itself by enacting a controversial and punitive 5 year offshore leasing plan?
Posted in energy policy, tagged SPR depletion, SPR refill, Strategic Petroleum Reserve on August 4, 2023| Leave a Comment »
WASHINGTON, Aug 1 (Reuters) – The Biden administration has pulled an offer to buy 6 million barrels of oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, an Energy Department spokesperson said on Tuesday, as oil prices are expected to keep rising after a output cut from Saudi Arabia.
So much for adding a few drops to the SPR bucket. When your reserve is down 380 million barrels in a seller’s market, you don’t have a lot of purchasing leverage. Don’t expect much of an SPR refill anytime soon. It’s easy to deplete strategic assets; much more difficult to replace them.
Posted in energy policy, tagged SPR depletion, Strategic Petroleum Reserve on July 31, 2023| Leave a Comment »
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve has held steady at 346.8 million bbls for the past 3 weeks. DOE’s latest update is as of 7/28/2023.
Posted in energy policy, tagged DOE, SPR depletion, SPR refill, Strategic Petroleum Reserve on July 14, 2023| Leave a Comment »
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve is ⬇ to 346.8 million barrels, the lowest volume since August 19, 1983, when the SPR was still being filled.
But fear not, 6 million barrels, which is less than 1/4 of the amount withdrawn just in 2023 YTD, are to be added in the fall, and Secretary Granholm assures us that the SPR will be refilled (but not completely and maybe not until the Administration’s second term 😀).
Keep in mind that DOE only intends to buy when prices are <$72/bbl, that the maximum refill rate is 685,000 bopd, and that acquisition, operational, and maintenance delays are to be expected .Filling the reserve to its 727 million barrel capacity was a 28 year process.


Posted in energy policy, Gulf of Mexico, Offshore Energy - General, tagged Gulf of Mexico production, SPR depletion, Strategic Petroleum Reserve on June 30, 2023| Leave a Comment »

Meanwhile, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is down to 348.6 million barrels as of June 23, but 6 million barrels, a relative drop in the bucket, are to be added in the fall.
