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Posts Tagged ‘Gulf of Mexico’

The streak of unprecedented Gulf of Mexico oil production stability was extended to 7 months in August.

As a result of shut-ins for Tropical Storms Francine and Helene, the streak will end when the production for Sept. is posted.

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199 oil and gas leases were wrongfully acquired at Sales 257, 259, and 261 with the intent of developing these leases for carbon disposal purposes. Repsol was the sole bidder at Sale 261 for 36 nearshore Texas tracts in the Mustang Island and Matagorda Island areas (red blocks at the western end of the map above). Exxon acquired 163 nearshore Texas tracts (blue in map above) at Sales 257 (94) and 259 (69).

Despite false starts by Exxon and Repsol (see above summary), no carbon sequestration (disposal) leases may be issued or developed until implementing regulations have been promulgated. In that regard, no news is good news for those who are less than enamored with CO2 disposal in the Gulf of Mexico.

The implementing regulations will be controversial. Most operating companies prioritize GoM production over GoM disposal. Most environmental organizations are strongly opposed to CO2 disposal schemes that sustain fossil fuel production and benefit fossil fuel producers. Taxpayers are leery of subsidizing these projects and absorbing increased costs for energy and consumer goods.

The Administration is, of course, well aware of this opposition and will not be publishing implementing regulations prior to the election. The next Administration, regardless of the election outcome, will no doubt take a hard look at these issues before proposing regulations.

The few oil and gas producers that are rather cynically hoping to cash in on CO2 disposal in the GoM will therefore have to wait, perhaps for a long time.

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The stability in Gulf of Mexico oil production rates, as noted when the data for June were released, continued into July. Oil production once again remained remarkably consistent at 1.8 million bopd.

Average daily production was within 1.4% of 1.8 million bopd for each month from February to July. As previously observed, this is as stable as production has been for any 6 month period in the past 10 years. I’m not sure this observation is terribly significant, but it’s interesting nonetheless. 😀

If the streak didn’t end in August, it most certainly did in September given the shut-ins for Hurricanes Francine and Helene.

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Update: BSEE reports that as of 9/29/2024, essentially all production had been restored.

As of 9/28, 210,000 BOPD remained shut-in with only 4 platforms still evacuated. Presumably, production had not resumed (or had only partially resumed) on some high rate deepwater platforms.

BSEE shut-in, evacuation, and relocation data in the table below are as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date.

date9/249/259/269/279/28
oil s.i.(BOPD)
% of total
284,000
 16.21
511,000
29.18
441,923
25.25
427,000
 24.39
210,000
12
gas s.i.(MMCFD)
% of total
208
11.2
313
16.85
363.39
19.81
343
18.46
112
6.04
platform evacs
% of total
4
1.08
17
4.58
27
7.28
9
2.43
4
1.08
rig evacs
% of total
0
0
1
20
1
20
00
DP rigs moved
% of total
2
9.5
3
14.3
3
14.3
1
4.76
1
4.76

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BSEE data as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date. Peak figures highlighted.

date9/109/119/129/139/149/159/16
oil s.i.(BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
732,316
41.85
522,233
29.84
338,690
19.35
213,204
12.18
gas s.i.(MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.7
53.32
973.2
52.3
755
40.6
514.8
27.64
298
16.02
platform evacs
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
144
31.81
52
14
37
10
24
6.47
rig evacs
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
2
40
0
0
0
0
0
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10
2
10
2
10
2
10
0

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BSEE data as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date.

date9/109/119/129/139/149/15
oil s.i.(BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
732,316
41.85
522,233
29.84
338,690
19.35
gas s.i.(MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.68
53.32
973.2
52.3
755
40.6
514.8
27.64
platform evacs
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
144
31.81
52
14
37
10
rig evacs
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
2
40
0
0
0
0
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10
2
10
2
10
2
10

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BSEE data as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date.

date9/109/119/129/139/14
oil shut-in (BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
732,316
41.85
522,233
29.84
gas s.i. (MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.68
53.32
973.2
52.3
755
40.6
platforms evacuated
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
144
31.81
52
14%
rigs evacuated
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
2
40
0
0
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10
2
10
2
10

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BSEE data as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date.

date9/109/119/129/13
oil shut-in (BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
732,316
41.85
gas s.i. (MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.68
53.32
973.2
52.3
platforms evac.
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
144
31.81
rigs evacuated
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
2
40
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10
2
10

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BSEE data for the past 3 days are tabulated below. Data are as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date. Barring offshore or downstream infrastructure damage, production should begin to resume over the next few days.

Prior to the shale boom, when our national production was lower and the OCS accounted for a larger share, these numbers would have had a more significant effect on oil and gas prices. That is not the case today with only a 2.4% rise in WTI prices.

date9/109/119/12
oil shut-in (BOPD)
% of total
412,070
23.55
674,833 
38.56
730,472
41.74
gas s.i. (MMCFD)
% of total
494
25.56
904
48.77
991.68
53.32
platforms evac.
% of total
130
35
171
46
169
45.55
rigs evacuated
% of total
2
40
3
60
3
60
DP rigs moved
% of total
3
15
4
20
2
10

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As of 12:30 pm ET on 9/11/2024, nearly 40% of the oil and half of the gas production was shut-in.

Total Shut-in (Percentage of GOM Production)
Oil, BOPD Shut-in674,833 BOPD38.56 %
Gas, MMCFD Shut-in907 MMCFD48.77 %

Evacuations and rig movementstotal% of GOM
Platforms Evacuated17146%
Rigs Evacuated (non DP)360%
DP Rigs Moved-off420%

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