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China plans to build an “Offshore Space Station” 2,000 meters below the ocean surface in the South China Sea. The plan is to complete the station, which will accommodate 6 scientists, by 2030.

This is by far the deepest water for which a subsea human habitat has been proposed. By comparison, the planned Proteus (Fabien Cousteau) underwater station will be in just 20 meters of water off the northeast coast of Curaçao. A Sentinel/UK habitat is planned for depths up to 200 meters in the Mediterranean.

The primary focus of the deepwater South China Sea facility will reportedly be the study of deepwater seep ecosystems which are rich in marine life and deposits of methane hydrates. Hydrates are an energy resource that has much potential. However, because of the risk of uncontrolled methane releases and seafloor instability, there is limited support for the production of hydrate methane.

A deepwater science station near hydrates and methane seeps would be a dangerous operating environment given the potential for methane blowouts and cratering caused by destabilized hydrates. Given that nearly all of the research could be conducted safer and cheaper with Autonomous Underwater Vehichles (AUVs) and advanced robotics, the scientific value of a deepwater station seems questionable.

The offshore oil and gas industry considered subsea habitats in the 1970s but has since abandoned the idea. Lockheed designed a one atmosphere seafloor chamber (diagram below) that was installed in the Gulf in 1972 at a water depth of 375 ft.

Dry chamber well and production systems lost favor because of concerns about flooding, high costs, and safety risks associated with transporting workers to the chambers and placing them in close proximity to “live” wells and production equipment.

Perhaps the main drivers for China’s deepwater “space station” are geopolitical. Taiwan, Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, and Brunei reject Beijing’s claims of sovereignty and each claim parts of the South China Sea (see map below).

By establishing a seafloor community in a strategic location, China could strengthen its highly questionable claim to the entire South China Sea. China would also have reason to increase Navy vessel activity in disputed waters to support and defend their subsea community.

This will be a project to watch if it actually goes forward.

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In light of the recent NASA/SpaceX advances in rocketry, a manned mission to Mars seems inevitable, perhaps within the next 5 years. See the SpaceX Mars landing video below.

While the space program generates more media buzz given the sci-fi appeal, the achievements of the offshore oil and gas industry are similarly impressive. The Gulf of America has its own Mars, a massive deepwater project that has been ongoing and expanding for 30 years, and may ultimately produce more than 1 billion barrels of oil equivalent (boe).

Like a mission to Mars, the successful development of deepwater oil and gas resources is a technical marvel that requires:

  • Identifying prospects deep beneath the seafloor using advanced subsurface imaging capabilities.
  • Drilling exploratory wells from floating rigs, using advanced stationkeeping systems that maintain a precise location on the water surface.
  • Drilling deep beneath the seafloor while transmitting real-time geologic, temperature, and pressure data to the rig and distant onshore locations.
  • Ensuring well integrity by installing and cementing multiple strings of protective casing.
  • Processing production at buoyant surface facilities designed to withstand worst case storm conditions.
  • Connecting clusters of subsea wells to a host surface facility that may be many miles away.
  • Increasing ultimate recovery with reservoir engineering studies and advanced well completion practices.

Life on the planet Mars will be dependent on technology developed for the offshore Mars and other deepwater projects.

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Jeff Bezos (owner) has informed Washington Post staff, that the focus of opinion pieces will now be on personal liberties and free markets.

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The nominally conservative CDU has vowed not to form a coalition with the “far-right” (actually conservative libertarian) AfD, and will thus have to join hands with the left-leaning SPD and Greens. This doesn’t bode well for the significant changes many believe are needed.

On the plus side for AfD supporters, the party’s growth in just 8 years has been most impressive:

  • 2017: AfD – 0 seats (4%)
  • 2021: AfD – 94 seats (12%)
  • 2025: AfD – 150+ seats (20%)

AfD was dominant in the East which fears a return of the Marxism they experienced prior to the “Wende.”

AfD’s energy policy (p.77) seems pretty sensible given the supply and cost challenges facing Germany. A few highlights:

  • The AfD supports “Protection of the Environment”, but not the “German Climate Protection Policy” and plans for “decarbonization” and the “Transformation of Society”. They want to end the perception of CO² as an exclusively harmful substance and stop Germany’s maverick policy in the reduction of CO² emissions.
  • Because the average output is so variable, renewable energy generators are not viable replacements for conventional large power stations.
  • Renewable sources necessitate a massive expansion of the electric grid systems and jeopardize grid stability.
  • Fracking: Explore Opportunities and Risks, Involve Citizens
  • Nuclear Energy: Explore Alternatives, Grant Lifetime Extensions in the Interim

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Lovely, talented, caring, and tolerant of my petro-masculinity 😀

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2024 YR4

Tom Maunder brought this to my attention:

It may sound apocalyptic, but a newly detected asteroid nearly the size of a football field now has a greater than one percent chance of colliding with Earth in about eight years.

Per CNN, the risk has increased:

“…the asteroid has a 2.2% chance of hitting our planet on December 22, 2032, according to the European Space Agency. The risk assessment has increased from a chance of 1.2% over the last week due to new observations.”

Tom Maunder’s assessment in response to my comment about a SpaceX deflection mission:

Deflection could be possible.  Right now they don’t know as much about the trajectory/orbit as they need to.  This rock was just discovered at Christmas and it is presently heading outbound on its orbit.  They are scouring past “sky photos” to see if it might have been imaged before but so far, no luck there. 

It will only be visible through April, then its out of sight for a couple of years.  Hopefully they will have enough info to forecast the orbit and determine that it will come close to earth but not impact.  They went through that exercise with Apothis which will miss earth by about 15000 miles on Friday, April 13, 2029.  That is closer than the geosynchronous communication satellites at 23000 miles.”

I suspect if an impact cannot be ruled out before it disappears that plans will be made to send a recon mission when it next approaches earth in 2028.

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My friends and former colleagues in Southern California do not live in areas that were devastated by the recent fires.

However, Nabil Masri, one of our outstanding petroleum engineers, sent this picture taken from his driveway in Camarillo during the “Mountain Fire” in November. His home was in an evacuation warning area, and the family was packed and ready to go. Fortunately, things improved and they did not have to evacuate.

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Career Minerals Management Service and BOEM stalwart Dr. Walter Cruickshank has been named Acting Secretary of the Interior pending the confirmation of Doug Burgum. Walter is a very bright guy with a balanced perspective on energy development. He has served capably on the senior management teams of both Democrat and Republican administrations. Bonus points for the Mineral Economics doctorate from Penn State and his keen interest in the Cape Cod Baseball League! 😉

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New name, short form:

full name:

This may be a bit of an adjustment for us older folks. 😉

Also, keep in mind that Greenland is geographically part of North America. Just sayin’ 😉

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