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Posts Tagged ‘Hurricane Helene’

Following the 200,000 bopd decline in Sept. because of Tropical Storms Francine and Helene, Oct. GoM oil production was once again in the normal range for 2024. With the exception of Sept., average 2024 production has been remarkably consistent from month to month.

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As expected, the Gulf of Mexico’s remarkable 7 month production consistency streak ended in September as a result of shut-ins associated with Tropical Storms Francine and Helene. Nonetheless, average daily production still amounted to 88% of the ~1.8 million bopd average that had been achieved for the previous 7 months. Rather impressive resiliency!

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The streak of unprecedented Gulf of Mexico oil production stability was extended to 7 months in August.

As a result of shut-ins for Tropical Storms Francine and Helene, the streak will end when the production for Sept. is posted.

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In a previous post, I mentioned the plight of my wife’s 80 year old friend who lost her home and car in the Asheville area. She was rescued by her brother Jim, who lives in Franklin, NC, and was taken in by some good folks who live in the upper hills. She is now living with her brother until she can find a rental.

Her most recent update (below) discusses her frustrations in dealing with FEMA. This is not intended as a broad indictment of FEMA, but as a reflection of the challenges individuals, particularly the elderly, can face in trying to recover from a natural disaster like Hurricane Helene.

Hello-

It’s almost 5am Saturday.  Yesterday was a disaster! Some early morning calls to insurance and that sort of thing. Those followed by tying to reach FEMA helpline by phone. Was on hold waiting for an agent for more than an hour before giving up.  Jim looked up the locations for face to face FEMA: none within 25 miles or 50 miles and only 3 in 100 miles. The closest being in Asheville about 4/5 miles from my house. Off we went with documents that needed correcting  from the ones originally submitted.  Their internet was down when we got there and remained down until leaving at 4:30ish.  It was hot, no shade, no where to sit. I got over-heated and feeling faint; almost hit the ground before getting to a picnic area where i could lie down on a bench. Medical people were there; 2 doctors and several nurses. Eventually I was moved to an ambulance to be monitored for a good while. Given a IV drip then allowed to leave.  They really, really wanted to take me to the hospital but I refused.  I said the Franklin hospital was close to Jim’s if needed.  So, that is the big thing to end the week.

I am sure other stuff was accomplished but don’t remember.   

Love and many thanks to everyone for the support, cards and packages.  So very grateful. ♥♥

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The stability in Gulf of Mexico oil production rates, as noted when the data for June were released, continued into July. Oil production once again remained remarkably consistent at 1.8 million bopd.

Average daily production was within 1.4% of 1.8 million bopd for each month from February to July. As previously observed, this is as stable as production has been for any 6 month period in the past 10 years. I’m not sure this observation is terribly significant, but it’s interesting nonetheless. 😀

If the streak didn’t end in August, it most certainly did in September given the shut-ins for Hurricanes Francine and Helene.

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Update: BSEE reports that as of 9/29/2024, essentially all production had been restored.

As of 9/28, 210,000 BOPD remained shut-in with only 4 platforms still evacuated. Presumably, production had not resumed (or had only partially resumed) on some high rate deepwater platforms.

BSEE shut-in, evacuation, and relocation data in the table below are as of 12:30 p.m. ET on the specified date.

date9/249/259/269/279/28
oil s.i.(BOPD)
% of total
284,000
 16.21
511,000
29.18
441,923
25.25
427,000
 24.39
210,000
12
gas s.i.(MMCFD)
% of total
208
11.2
313
16.85
363.39
19.81
343
18.46
112
6.04
platform evacs
% of total
4
1.08
17
4.58
27
7.28
9
2.43
4
1.08
rig evacs
% of total
0
0
1
20
1
20
00
DP rigs moved
% of total
2
9.5
3
14.3
3
14.3
1
4.76
1
4.76

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