The Unleashing American Energy Act requires a minimum of two oil and gas lease sales to be held annually in available federal waters in the Central and Western Gulf of Mexico Planning Area, and in the Alaska Region of the Outer Continental Shelf.
The Securing American Energy and Investing in Resiliency Act requires the Department of the Interior to conduct all remaining offshore oil and gas lease sales in the current leasing plan and issue leases won as a result of Lease Sale 257.
The Strategy to Secure Offshore Energy Act requires the publications of the 2022-27 plan for offshore oil and gas lease sales by the time the current plan expires on June 30, 2022.
This WSJ report, if accurate, reflects the mindset that you can increase oil production on demand when absolutely necessary, and avoid committing to longer term oil and gas supplies. The goal of such thinking is to address supply crises without alienating the uncompromising climate ultras. You suspend lease sales, deny new pipelines, and demonize oil and gas and the people who produce it. When supplies tighten and prices spike, you tap the strategic reserve, appeal to OPEC, talk to Venezuela and Iran, and ask Canada to ship more oil in rail cars or trucks (but no new pipelines please!). .
Below is a pie chart constructed using data from a 2018 DOT report to Congress. For logistical and economic reasons, pipelines are overwhelmingly the crude oil transport method of choice. Rail cars and trucks are called on where there are no pipeline options.
Looking at the systems, one would assume that pipelines have safety and environmental advantages. Loading and unloading hundreds of tanks would seem to be inviting spills, although most would presumably be small. The DOT data bear this out. On a volume transported basis, spill incidents occurred nearly 15 times more frequently for rail cars and trucks than they did for pipelines.
For pipeline(s), an incident occurred approximately once every 720 million gallons of crude oil shipped. For rail, an incident occurred approximately once every 50 million gallons of crude oil shipped. For truck(s), an incident occurred approximately once every 55 million gallons of crude oil shipped.
Looking at the percentage spilled, pipelines also had a significant (7.6 times) advantage over rail, but only a slight advantage over trucks.
Volume of Crude Oil Shipped and Spilled by Pipeline, Rail, and Truck, 2007-2016
Pipeline
volume shipped (k gal)
1,298,630,088
volume spilled (k gal)
13,161
% spilled
0.0010%
Rail
volume shipped (k gal)
23,052,960
volume spilled (k gal)
1,751
% spilled
0.0076%
Truck
volume shipped (k gal)
47,894,868
volume spilled (k gal)
521
% spilled
0.0011%
Because fatalities or hospitalizations were extremely rare, DOT chose not to normalize those data. There were a total of 3 fatalities associated with both pipeline and truck shipments. While no fatalities were associated with rail shipments, DOT noted that 47 deaths resulted from a crude oil derailment in Lac Megantic, Quebec in 2013. BOE further reminds readers that this train was transporting Bakken crude from North Dakota to a refinery in St. John, New Brunswick.
The bottom line is that you have to plan ahead to satisfy future supply needs. This is particularly true for the offshore sector where the lead times are longer, but the production volumes relative to the number of wells and facilities are higher (a good thing). The need for oil and gas is not going away, nor are threats to energy security. There are plenty of people in the U.S. Department of the Interior who understand this. Empower them to safely expedite leasing, exploration, and development!
With regard to shelf drilling activity (<1000′ water depth), a total of 55 wells were started in 2021 and 2022 (first quarter). Only 2 of these wells, both by Walter Oil and Gas, were classified as exploratory. The most active drillers (by far) were Arena Offshore (30 well starts) and Cantium LLC (16 well starts). Ankor, EnVen, and Talos were the only other operators with drilling activity.
9/30/2021 – BOEM announces Lease Sale 257 as necessary to comply with the order of the Louisiana Federal Court. DOI will “continue its comprehensive review of the deficiencies associated with its offshore and onshore oil and gas leasing programs.”
11/15/2021 – Press Secretary Psaki: “We believe the (Louisiana court) decision is wrong, and the Justice Department is appealing it. So it’s in the courts; it’s in a legal process. We’re required to comply with the injunction. It’s a legal case and legal process, but it’s important for advocates and other people out there who are following this to understand that it’s not aligned with our view, the President’s policies, or the executive order that he signed.”WTI = $80.85/bbl
11/17/2021: Sale 257 bids opened and announced despite pending litigation. In a surprising twist, Exxon was the sole bidder on 94 carbon sequestration tracts offshore Texas. Neither the Notice of Sale nor the environmental review announced or assessed carbon sequestration operations in Federal offshore waters. BOEM/DOI have not commented publicly on the CCS bidding.
1/27/2022: Judge Contreras, DC Federal Court, vacates Sale 257. The Judge agreed with the plaintiffs’ assertion that BOEM failed to consider the effect that reduced production (and thus higher prices) would have on foreign consumption and the associated GHG emissions. The judge not only decided in favor of the plaintiffs, but ruled that BOEM’s omission was so serious that the lease sale had to be vacated. The judge reached this decision even though (1) the five year leasing plan expires in June leaving the timing of any future sale very much in doubt and (2) all of the sale 257 bids, which are based on proprietary assessments, are now public information, thus compromising the integrity of the leasing process at the next sale (if and when that occurs). WTI= $87.61/bbl
2/8/2022: API and the State of Louisiana appeal the Sale 257 decision.
2/24/2022: Russia invades Ukraine
2/28/2022: The Administration announces that it will not appeal the Sale 257 decision. WTI = $96.13
3/8/2022: WTI peaks at $123.70/bbl
3/30/2022: EIAP Report for API and NOIA estimates economic impacts from leasing program delays noting: In most cases, additional leases are required to produce an existing field fully or to underpin the economics of processing and transportation infrastructure. It is thus important for the industry to have continued opportunities to secure leases through a predictable leasing program. (US lease blocks are too small for optimal development in deepwater and frontier areas, increasing the importance of regular lease sales.)
New Fortress Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: NFE) (together with its affiliates, “NFE”) today announced that it has concurrently filed applications with the U.S. Maritime Administration, the U.S. Coast Guard and U.S. Department of Energy to request all necessary permits and regulatory approvals to site, construct and operate a new offshore LNG liquefaction terminal off the coast of Louisiana (“the Project”) with a capacity of exporting approximately 145 billion cubic feet of natural gas per year, equivalent to approximately 2.8 million tons per annum (MTPA) of LNG.
The Project will be located in federal waters approximately 16 miles off the southeast coast of Grand Isle, Louisiana, and will access abundant U.S. gas supply by leveraging existing infrastructure. Procurement of all long-lead materials is complete and modular assembly of equipment is underway. Subject to the receipt of all required permits and approvals, NFE targets beginning operations in the first quarter of 2023.
In addition to the obvious concerns about depleting the strategic petroleum reserve, further mortgaging our economic future, and increasing national security risks, the directive to withdrawal 1 million BOPD from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve for 6 months raises a few comments specific to US offshore production:
The 1 million BOPD withdrawal is equivalent to ~60% of the daily production from the entire Gulf of Mexico offshore sector. How will this massive 6-month withdrawal will effect regional markets and logistics?
Will the Dept. of Energy have to assess the GHG effects associated with their withdrawal of oil from the SPR? More specifically, will DOE be required to assess the increase in GHG emissions as a result of the increased foreign oil consumption that will result from the reduction in oil prices? This is what Judge Contreras ordered BOEM to do when he vacated Gulf of Mexico sale 257.
If it’s okay to produce and consume oil from the SPR facilities (mapped below), why is new leasing and exploration being constrained in the adjacent Gulf of Mexico?
UAE Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei has most definitely not forgotten:
“I think in COP 26 all the producers felt they were uninvited and unwanted but now we are again superheroes, it’s not going to work like that,” he said.
Technological advances, most notably horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing, and private initiative on private land changed all of that.
“The US is going to emerge this year as the world’s largest LNG exporter, and it is clear that US LNG is a geopolitical asset for the United States and for Europe.”
“I am deeply honored to join the Interior Department and continue my public service career on behalf of the American people. I’ve dedicated my life to keeping the public safe, and I look forward to continuing that service alongside the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement’s incredible career employees,” said Director Sligh.
Bud's Offshore Energy (BOE) 