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Posts Tagged ‘SPR depletion’

For the first time in 71 weeks the Strategic Petroleum Reserve has not declined. DOE reports that the SPR was unchanged during the week ending 1/20/2023. The reserve remains at 371.6 million bbls, about 51% of capacity.

Bob McNally, founder and president of the consulting firm Rapidan Energy Group, said any effect on pump prices has been modest.

“Pump prices are largely driven by global crude oil prices,” McNally said in an email. “SPR releases have at most temporary and small impacts on global crude oil prices. Therefore the SPR is a bad tool for trying to manage pump prices.”

Washington Post

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This week’s loss was by a small margin, only 800,000 barrels (down to 371.58 million barrels total), suggesting that the record losing streak may end soon. EIA data

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  • Reserve down to 372.4 million bbls as of 12/30/2022
  • 222 million bbl decline (37.4%) in 2022
  • Lowest volume since 12/2/1983
  • Reserve is now depleted by nearly 1/2 (49%) from its capacity of 727 million bbls

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More “free” oil was withdrawn from the SPR, which has sunk to the lowest level (375.1 million bbls) since Christmas 1983. More rational oil and gas leasing policies would have been a far better gift, particularly for our children and grandchildren.

The “pilot” refill program is scheduled to begin in February. We’ll see how that goes.

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In October, the President announced a plan to replenish the SPR using updated authorities that allow for fixed-price purchases of crude oil. Relative to conventional purchase contracts that expose producers to volatile crude prices, this new approach, when used at scale, can give producers the assurance to make investments today, knowing that the price they receive when they sell to the SPR will be locked in place. Today’s notice will pilot this new approach by starting with a purchase of up to 3 million barrels of crude oil.  

DOE

Note that these pilot deliveries will not begin until Feb. 2023 and will total < 3 million barrels. The reserve is 349 million bbls below capacity, and 216 million bbls have been withdrawn this year.

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  • down another 4.7 million bbs from the previous week (12/2/2022)
  • lowest reserve volume since 1/6/1984
  • 212 million bbls withdrawn this year
  • EIA data

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Down to 387 million bbls as of 12/2. Lowest SPR volume since 2/24/1984. 206 million bbls withdrawn in 2022. With WTI near $72/bbl, is this finally the end of the withdrawals?

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The reserve is at its lowest level since 3/16/1984, and is now 46.5% below capacity.

Meanwhile OPEC+ considers further cuts.

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 Lowest volume since 3/30/1984; 46% below capacity; 36% one year decline

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